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FC Madalena vs Paredes

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
FC Madalena Logo

FC Madalena

1 - 0
FT
Paredes Logo

Paredes

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 game between FC Madalena and Paredes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Madalena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
FC Madalena
15%
Draws
68%
Paredes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paredes come out ahead of FC Madalena on wins alone.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Paredes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Madalena Clean Sheet 13%
Paredes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Madalena Paredes
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
FC Madalena vs Paredes
1:0
Oct 9, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Paredes vs FC Madalena
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Madalena 10 / 100
Paredes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Madalena Paredes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paredes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Madalena found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Paredes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Madalena remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Madalena VS Paredes
3 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Madalena

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3
Lusitania FC
30 Aug
SC Barreiro
2 : 5
FC Madalena
08 Sept
FC Madalena
0 : 2
Estrela Vendas Novas
11 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
FC Madalena
27 Sept
FC Barreirense
3 : 0
FC Madalena
Page 1 of 6

Paredes

(Away)
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1
Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3
Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tondela 30 19 6 5 49:22 63
2 SC Espinho 30 19 5 6 50:32 62
3 Operario 30 15 7 8 34:26 52
4 Boavista 30 15 5 10 43:31 50
5 Amarante FC 30 13 10 7 48:30 49
6 Sao Joao de Ver 30 15 4 11 43:46 49
7 Gondomar 30 13 5 12 27:31 44
8 Cinfaes 30 12 7 11 35:40 43
9 Coimbroes 30 9 15 6 30:31 42
10 Anadia 30 11 7 12 45:42 40
11 Padroense 30 11 6 13 47:50 39
12 Aliados Lordelo 30 10 7 13 41:40 37
13 Oliv. Bairro 30 7 7 16 34:50 28
14 SC Angrense 30 5 8 17 36:49 23
15 Paredes 30 6 5 19 30:50 23
16 FC Madalena 30 5 6 19 32:54 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)