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FC Mamer vs Jeunesse Canach

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Aguiar J.
13'
Laborie P.
60'
Castro G.

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue 2025/2026 game between FC Mamer and Jeunesse Canach finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Mamer
15%
Draws
34%
Jeunesse Canach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Mamer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Mamer come out ahead of Jeunesse Canach on wins alone.
  • Model gives FC Mamer a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular BGL Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Mamer Clean Sheet 10%
Jeunesse Canach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Mamer Jeunesse Canach
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 BGL Ligue
FC Mamer vs Jeunesse Canach
0:0
Aug 3, 2025 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Canach vs FC Mamer
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Mamer 34 / 100
Jeunesse Canach 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Mamer Jeunesse Canach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Mamer scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Jeunesse Canach let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Jeunesse Canach has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Mamer VS Jeunesse Canach
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Mamer

(Home)
20 Sept
Red Star Merl/Belair
0 : 4
FC Mamer
26 Jul
FC Rodange 91
4 : 0
FC Mamer
22 Jul
Dudelange
2 : 0
FC Mamer
21 Jul
FC Mamer
2 : 1
Harlange/Tarchamps
19 Jul
FC Mamer
1 : 2
Ettelbruck
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Jeunesse Canach

(Away)
18 Sept
SC Ell
1 : 4
Jeunesse Canach
26 Jul
Jeunesse Canach
1 : 3
Ettelbruck
01 Jun
Jeunesse Canach
1 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
23 May
FC Mamer
0 : 0
Jeunesse Canach
17 May
Jeunesse Canach
0 : 5
Bissen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bissen 30 20 5 5 70:27 65
2 Differdange 30 19 8 3 63:22 65
3 Mondorf 30 19 3 8 51:24 60
4 UNA Strassen 30 17 7 6 57:26 58
5 Dudelange 30 17 7 6 59:38 58
6 Jeunesse Esch 30 10 10 10 35:34 40
7 Racing Luxembourg 30 11 7 12 48:50 40
8 Kaerjeng 30 11 5 14 43:48 38
9 Hostert 30 10 6 14 35:56 36
10 Victoria Rosport 30 10 5 15 33:50 35
11 Progres Niedercorn 30 9 7 14 44:47 34
12 Hesperange 30 9 5 16 31:46 32
13 Jeunesse Canach 30 9 4 17 29:44 31
14 FC Mamer 30 8 5 17 33:59 29
15 Union Titus Petange 30 6 7 17 26:49 25
16 FC Rodange 91 30 6 7 17 28:65 25
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2025/2026 (Relegation)