Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Luxembourg Cup game between FC Mamer and Kaerjeng finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Mamer.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kaerjeng
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Kaerjeng carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Kaerjeng a 90% chance of winning this.
- It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Luxembourg Cup game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Kaerjeng have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Mamer Clean Sheet 16%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Mamer | Kaerjeng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 BGL Ligue
FC Mamer vs Kaerjeng
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
FC Mamer vs Kaerjeng
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs FC Mamer
4:2
Nov 27, 2011 Luxembourg Cup
FC Mamer vs Kaerjeng
1:2
Dec 2, 2006 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs FC Mamer
4:0
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Mamer 10 / 100
Kaerjeng 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Mamer Kaerjeng
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
FC Mamer's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Kaerjeng conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
FC Mamer went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Mamer VS Kaerjeng
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Ehlerange0
Differdange9
Jeunesse Schieren0
Union Titus Petange4
Les Aiglons Dalheim2
The Belval Belvaux6
Grevenmacher0
UNA Strassen3
Kehlen2
Ettelbruck3
Echternach0
Racing Luxembourg7
FC Munsbach3
FC Residence Walferdange1
US Sandweiler2
Jeunesse Canach5
Avenir Beggen2
Rumelange3
Jeunesse Biwer1
Fola4
Oberkorn0
Hesperange3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf0
Hostert4
FC Koerich/Simmern2
Koeppchen0
FC Schengen2
Luxembourg City4
Gasperich0
Lorentzweiler1
US Folschette0
FC Rodange 915
Union Remich/Bous1
Dudelange3
FC Noertzange HF0
Bissen9
FC Kopstal 331
Berdenia Berbourg2
CS Sanem1
Mondorf6
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig2
Wiltz6
ALSS Luxembourg2
FC Marisca Mersch4
Syra Mensdorf0
Progres Niedercorn3
Blo Weiss Medernach1
Jeunesse Esch2
Miniere Lasauvage2
US Feulen4
Jeunesse Junglinster2
Bettembourg6
FC Yellow Boys Weiler3
Schifflange2
Mertzig2
Alisontia Steinsel3
Jeunesse Gilsdorf1
FC Mamer2
Lintgen0
Kaerjeng3
FF Norden1
Mondercange4
US Moutfort/Medingen2
Victoria Rosport3
1/16-finals
Differdange2
Union Titus Petange1
The Belval Belvaux2
UNA Strassen4
Ettelbruck2
Racing Luxembourg3
FC Munsbach2
Jeunesse Canach3
Rumelange2
Fola4
Hesperange0
Hostert3
FC Koerich/Simmern0
Luxembourg City2
Lorentzweiler2
FC Rodange 914
Dudelange1
Bissen4
Berdenia Berbourg0
Mondorf2
Wiltz6
FC Marisca Mersch0
Progres Niedercorn1
Jeunesse Esch0
US Feulen2
Bettembourg1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler1
Alisontia Steinsel2
FC Mamer2
Kaerjeng0
Mondercange2
Victoria Rosport3
1/8-finals
Differdange4
UNA Strassen3
Racing Luxembourg3
Jeunesse Canach2
Fola3
Hostert1
Luxembourg City0
FC Rodange 912
Bissen2
Mondorf1
Wiltz0
Progres Niedercorn1
US Feulen1
Alisontia Steinsel0
FC Mamer2
Victoria Rosport3
Quarter-finals
Differdange2
Racing Luxembourg0
Fola0
FC Rodange 911
Bissen1
Progres Niedercorn2
US Feulen1
Victoria Rosport2
Semi-finals
Differdange2
FC Rodange 911
Progres Niedercorn2
Victoria Rosport3
Final
Differdange4
Victoria Rosport1