Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with FC Mamer advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaerjeng
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kaerjeng carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Kaerjeng a 57% chance of winning this.
- Kaerjeng arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Kaerjeng, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Kaerjeng have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Mamer Clean Sheet 10%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Mamer | Kaerjeng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 37 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 2.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.06 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 BGL Ligue
FC Mamer vs Kaerjeng
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
FC Mamer vs Kaerjeng
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs FC Mamer
4:2
Nov 27, 2011 Luxembourg Cup
FC Mamer vs Kaerjeng
1:2
Dec 2, 2006 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs FC Mamer
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Mamer 10 / 100
Kaerjeng 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Mamer Kaerjeng
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kaerjeng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
FC Mamer found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).
Kaerjeng's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 37 matches.
Solid form: FC Mamer remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Mamer VS Kaerjeng
1 Goals Scored 2.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Mamer
(Home) 20 Sept
Red Star Merl/Belair
0 : 4 FC Mamer
26 Jul
FC Rodange 91
4 : 0 FC Mamer
22 Jul
Dudelange
2 : 0 FC Mamer
21 Jul
FC Mamer
2 : 1 Harlange/Tarchamps
19 Jul
FC Mamer
1 : 2 Ettelbruck
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21 Jul
FC Mamer
2 : 1 Harlange/Tarchamps
19 Jul
FC Mamer
1 : 2 Ettelbruck
11 Jul
FC Mamer
1 : 6 FC Residence Walferdange
31 May
FC Mamer
0 : 1 Wiltz
23 May
FC Mamer
0 : 0 Jeunesse Canach
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Kaerjeng
(Away) 20 Sept
Syra Mensdorf
1 : 9 Kaerjeng
16 Sept
Dudelange
2 : 4 Kaerjeng
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0 Victoria Rosport
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1 Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0 Hesperange
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20 Sept
Syra Mensdorf
1 : 9 Kaerjeng
16 Sept
Dudelange
2 : 4 Kaerjeng
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1 Kaerjeng
23 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 1 Kaerjeng
02 Aug
Racing Luxembourg
5 : 1 Kaerjeng
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Ehlerange 0
Differdange 9
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Union Titus Petange 4
Les Aiglons Dalheim 2
The Belval Belvaux 6
Grevenmacher 0
UNA Strassen 3
Kehlen 2
Ettelbruck 3
Echternach 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
FC Munsbach 3
FC Residence Walferdange 1
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Canach 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Fola 4
Oberkorn 0
Hesperange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Hostert 4
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Koeppchen 0
FC Schengen 2
Luxembourg City 4
Gasperich 0
Lorentzweiler 1
US Folschette 0
FC Rodange 91 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Dudelange 3
FC Noertzange HF 0
Bissen 9
FC Kopstal 33 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
CS Sanem 1
Mondorf 6
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 2
Wiltz 6
ALSS Luxembourg 2
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Miniere Lasauvage 2
US Feulen 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Bettembourg 6
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Schifflange 2
Mertzig 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
FC Mamer 2
Lintgen 0
Kaerjeng 3
FF Norden 1
Mondercange 4
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/16-finals
Differdange 2
Union Titus Petange 1
The Belval Belvaux 2
UNA Strassen 4
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
FC Munsbach 2
Jeunesse Canach 3
Rumelange 2
Fola 4
Hesperange 0
Hostert 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Rodange 91 4
Dudelange 1
Bissen 4
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Mondorf 2
Wiltz 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
US Feulen 2
Bettembourg 1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Alisontia Steinsel 2
FC Mamer 2
Kaerjeng 0
Mondercange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/8-finals
Differdange 4
UNA Strassen 3
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Fola 3
Hostert 1
Luxembourg City 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Bissen 2
Mondorf 1
Wiltz 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
US Feulen 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
FC Mamer 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Quarter-finals
Differdange 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
Fola 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Bissen 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
US Feulen 1
Victoria Rosport 2
Semi-finals
Differdange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Final
Differdange 4
Victoria Rosport 1
