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FC Manitoba vs Thunder Bay Chill - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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USL Premier Development League 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2018 game between FC Manitoba and Thunder Bay Chill finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thunder Bay Chill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
FC Manitoba
15%
Draws
59%
Thunder Bay Chill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thunder Bay Chill come out ahead of FC Manitoba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Thunder Bay Chill a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
FC Manitoba Clean Sheet 10%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Manitoba Thunder Bay Chill
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 9 22
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.59 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 2.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2023 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs FC Manitoba
1:0
May 28, 2023 USL League Two
FC Manitoba vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:1
Jul 16, 2022 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs FC Manitoba
2:1
Jul 15, 2022 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs FC Manitoba
2:1
May 29, 2022 USL League Two
FC Manitoba vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Manitoba 22 / 100
Thunder Bay Chill 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Manitoba Thunder Bay Chill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thunder Bay Chill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Manitoba scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Thunder Bay Chill's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: FC Manitoba remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Manitoba VS Thunder Bay Chill
0.67 Goals Scored 2.75
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Manitoba

(Home)
14 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
FC Manitoba
09 Jul
FC Manitoba
1 : 2
Minneapolis City
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
1 : 0
FC Manitoba
02 Jul
Rochester FC
2 : 2
FC Manitoba
01 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
FC Manitoba
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Thunder Bay Chill

(Away)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
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