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FC Mariupol vs FC Astana

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Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Pedro Eugenio
39' Event
Kulakov A.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Khromey M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2022 game between FC Mariupol and FC Astana finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Astana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Mariupol
40%
Draws
29%
FC Astana
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Astana come out ahead of FC Mariupol on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FC Mariupol Clean Sheet 20%
FC Astana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Mariupol FC Astana
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 3 14
Draws 3 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2022 Club Friendly
FC Mariupol vs FC Astana
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Mariupol Compare

Top Goalscorer Khromey M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FC Astana Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Eugenio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hovhannisyan K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Mariupol 32 / 100
FC Astana 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Mariupol FC Astana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

FC Mariupol found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (15 games).

FC Astana let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

FC Mariupol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Astana
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%