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FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II vs Guria

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2022 game between FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II and Guria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
6%
Draws
90%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guria a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II Clean Sheet 20%
Guria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II Guria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 15
Draws 10 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0 3
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2023 Liga 3
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II vs Guria
4:0
May 17, 2023 Liga 3
Guria vs FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
1:1
Oct 6, 2022 Liga 3
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II vs Guria
1:0
May 17, 2022 Liga 3
Guria vs FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
2:0
Sep 14, 2021 Liga 3
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II vs Guria
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 10 / 100
Guria 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Guria let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guria
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II

(Home)
01 Dec
FC Tbilisi 2025
3 : 1
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
25 Nov
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
1 : 1
Chikhura Sachkhere
21 Nov
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
2 : 0
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
14 Nov
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
2 : 2
FC Rustavi
07 Nov
Borjomi
3 : 1
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
Page 1 of 6

Guria

(Away)
26 Jul
Guria
1 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Didube
1 : 2
Guria
15 Jun
Guria
5 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
28 May
Orbi
1 : 2
Guria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Tbilisi 230225372:2271
2Kolkheti 191330216376:2969
3Dusheti30169556:2557
4FC Kolkheti Khobi30159653:3254
5FC Tbilisi 202530149765:4351
6Gori301551058:3850
7Iberia 1999 2301341346:4443
8Borjomi301251347:4041
9Orbi301161349:5239
10Bakhmaro Chokhatauri301081238:4238
11Tbilisi City301151438:4838
12Guria301141542:4937
13FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II301141537:5037
14Meshakhte Tkibuli301051535:3935
15Zestafoni30432318:7715
16Chikhura Sachkhere30012919:1191
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 (Relegation)