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FC Messina vs Dattilo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Lodi F.
45' Event
Calafiore C.
49' Event
Lodi F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 game between FC Messina and Dattilo finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Messina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Messina
15%
Draws
85%
Dattilo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dattilo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dattilo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Messina Clean Sheet 20%
Dattilo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Messina Dattilo
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 2 14
Draws 0 3
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2021 Serie D - Group I
FC Messina vs Dattilo
4:2
Oct 4, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Dattilo vs FC Messina
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Messina Compare

Top Goalscorer Lodi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caballero P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Dattilo Compare

Top Goalscorer Calafiore C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Terranova P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Messina 32 / 100
Dattilo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Messina Dattilo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dattilo has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

FC Messina found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (8 games).

Dattilo's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Messina VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Messina

(Home)
08 Dec
Cavese
3 : 0
FC Messina
05 Dec
FC Messina
0 : 3
Troina
28 Nov
Paterno
8 : 1
FC Messina
24 Nov
Trapani
2 : 0
FC Messina
21 Nov
FC Messina
0 : 1
Santa Maria Cilento
Page 1 of 2

Dattilo

(Away)
19 Jun
Rotonda
1 : 0
Dattilo
16 Jun
Dattilo
0 : 1
Gelbison
13 Jun
AS Acireale
1 : 1
Dattilo
02 Jun
Cittanovese
0 : 1
Dattilo
30 May
Dattilo
2 : 0
S. Agata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACR Messina 34 21 11 2 66:25 74
2 FC Messina 34 21 9 4 59:25 72
3 Gelbison 34 19 9 6 54:32 66
4 San Luca 34 17 7 10 46:38 58
5 AS Acireale 34 17 6 11 51:32 57
6 Dattilo 34 16 4 14 51:47 52
7 Rotonda 34 13 10 11 31:33 49
8 Santa Maria Cilento 34 10 15 9 43:29 45
9 Biancavilla 34 14 4 16 43:47 45
10 Licata 34 11 10 13 36:39 43
11 Castrovillari 34 10 11 13 39:37 41
12 Paterno 34 10 9 15 28:35 39
13 Cittanovese 34 10 9 15 42:51 39
14 S. Agata 34 8 12 14 32:48 36
15 Troina 34 9 9 16 27:47 36
16 Rende 34 9 7 18 38:58 34
17 Marina di Ragusa 34 8 9 17 38:58 33
18 Roccella 34 5 5 24 25:68 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)