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FC Messina vs San Luca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Sun, Jan 30, 2022
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Messina host San Luca in the Serie D - Group I 2021/2022. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. San Luca have shipped 1.56 goals a game lately, while FC Messina have conceded 2.86 and scored 0.57. Past meetings favor FC Messina slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.92 - 1.24) back San Luca to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Messina
15%
Draws
85%
San Luca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Luca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Luca lately — more wins on the board than FC Messina.
  • Win probability leans FC Messina's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Messina Clean Sheet 19%
San Luca Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Messina San Luca
Matches Played 7 36
Wins 1 10
Draws 0 11
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 0.57 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2022 Serie D - Group I
FC Messina vs San Luca
0:0
Oct 3, 2021 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs FC Messina
1:0
Feb 21, 2021 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs FC Messina
0:1
Sep 27, 2020 Serie D - Group I
FC Messina vs San Luca
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Messina 76 / 100
San Luca 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Messina San Luca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Messina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Luca has conceded goals in 75% of their last 36 outings.

Difficult form: San Luca registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

FC Messina scored in 43% of their last 7 games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Luca
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Messina

(Home)
08 Dec
Cavese
3 : 0
FC Messina
05 Dec
FC Messina
0 : 3
Troina
28 Nov
Paterno
8 : 1
FC Messina
24 Nov
Trapani
2 : 0
FC Messina
21 Nov
FC Messina
0 : 1
Santa Maria Cilento
Page 1 of 2

San Luca

(Away)
12 May
San Luca
0 : 2
Locri 1909
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
21 Apr
Akragas
1 : 2
San Luca
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)