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FC Minsk U19 vs Derby U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 Stadium FC Minsk, Minsk
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Match Events

22' Event
Whittaker M.
(Penalty)
25'
Brown J.
55'
Sibley L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Derby U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Minsk U19
15%
Draws
54%
Derby U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Derby U19 come out ahead of FC Minsk U19 on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Derby U19 taking it.
  • Derby U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Derby U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
FC Minsk U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Derby U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Minsk U19 Derby U19
Matches Played 12 6
Wins 3 5
Draws 3 0
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 1.42 3.17
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Derby U19 vs FC Minsk U19
7:2
Oct 2, 2019 UEFA Youth League
FC Minsk U19 vs Derby U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Minsk U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Derby U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Whittaker M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Minsk U19 10 / 100
Derby U19 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Minsk U19 Derby U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

FC Minsk U19 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).

FC Minsk U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Minsk U19 VS Derby U19
1.25 Goals Scored 3.17
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Minsk U19

(Home)
24 Nov
FC Minsk U19
1 : 1
Hajduk Split U19
03 Nov
Hajduk Split U19
3 : 0
FC Minsk U19
20 Oct
FC Minsk U19
2 : 0
BFC Daugavpils U19
29 Sept
BFC Daugavpils U19
0 : 4
FC Minsk U19
22 Oct
Derby U19
7 : 2
FC Minsk U19
Page 1 of 3

Derby U19

(Away)
04 Mar
Salzburg U19
4 : 1
Derby U19
11 Feb
Derby U19
3 : 1
Dortmund U19
27 Nov
Derby U19
4 : 1
Akranes U19
06 Nov
Akranes U19
1 : 2
Derby U19
22 Oct
Derby U19
7 : 2
FC Minsk U19
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Shkendija Tirane U19 1
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 3
Sogndal U19 4
Honka U19 2
Zaragoza U19 5
Korona Kielce U19 1
Gabala U19 1
APOEL U19 2
Elfsborg U19 1
Midtjylland U19 3
MTK Budapest U19 1
Zrinjski U19 3
Akranes U19 16
Levadia U19 1
FC Minsk U19 2
Derby U19 9
FC Porto U19 7
FK Liepaja U19 2
FC Viitorul U19 0
Domzale U19 2
Dynamo Kyiv U19 10
Shkendija Tetovo U19 2
Bohemians U19 1
PAOK U19 2
Young Boys U19 5
Rangers U19 5
Ludogorets U19 1
Slovan Bratislava U19 2
Rennes U19 2
Brodarac U19 1
FC Astana U19 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva U19 4
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 3
Sogndal U19 3
Zaragoza U19 9
APOEL U19 0
Midtjylland U19 3
Zrinjski U19 1
Akranes U19 2
Derby U19 6
FC Porto U19 5
Domzale U19 2
Dynamo Kyiv U19 5
PAOK U19 2
Rangers U19 4
Slovan Bratislava U19 1
Rennes U19 3
Maccabi Petah Tikva U19 0