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FC Minsk vs Belshina

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Traktor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Minsk play Belshina in the Vysshaya Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Minsk averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Belshina averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, FC Minsk won 3, Belshina won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for FC Minsk and 1.44 for Belshina. This points to a FC Minsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FC Minsk
15%
Draws
38%
Belshina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Minsk picked up more points recently compared to Belshina.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
FC Minsk Clean Sheet 16%
Belshina Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Minsk Belshina
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs Belshina
5:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Belshina vs FC Minsk
1:0
Jul 12, 2024 Belarusian Cup
Belshina vs FC Minsk
3:1
Nov 12, 2023 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs Belshina
2:1
Jun 25, 2023 Vysshaya Liga
Belshina vs FC Minsk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Ksenofontov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sokol A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Belshina Compare

Top Goalscorer Golub N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Minsk 46 / 100
Belshina 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Minsk Belshina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Minsk or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Minsk attacking → ← attacking Belshina

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Minsk scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Belshina let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

FC Minsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Belshina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 27
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1474320:1225
5Zhodino1465323:1223
6Dynamo Brest1463520:1421
7Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1456318:1821
8Neman1462615:1420
9FC Minsk1454519:1919
10Vitebsk1445513:1617
11Slavia Mozyr1436513:1815
12FK Baranovici1434714:2613
13Dnepr Mogilev1425711:2011
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316