Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Minsk vs Naftan

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Traktor, Minsk
FC Minsk Logo

FC Minsk

4 - 2
FT
Naftan Logo

Naftan

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Dikhtievskiy V. In: Yatskevich V.
Out: Dikhtievskiy V.
14' Event
Yatskevich V.
Assist: Turich A.
45' Event
Latykhov D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Minsk in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Minsk
15%
Draws
34%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Minsk have won more games recently than Naftan.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on FC Minsk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Minsk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
FC Minsk Clean Sheet 68%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Minsk Naftan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs FC Minsk
0:3
May 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs Naftan
4:2
Aug 2, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs FC Minsk
0:3
Mar 13, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs Naftan
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs FC Minsk
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Yatskevich V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Varaksa V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Naftan Compare

Top Goalscorer Latykhov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zaynivov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Minsk 95 / 100
Naftan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Minsk Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Minsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

FC Minsk scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Naftan conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Naftan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Minsk VS Naftan
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Minsk

(Home)
18 Sept
Belshina
2 : 0
FC Minsk
11 Sept
FC Minsk
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
30 Aug
BATE
2 : 1
FC Minsk
21 Aug
FC Minsk
0 : 1
Vitebsk
Page 1 of 6

Naftan

(Away)
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)