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FC Minsk vs Zhodino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Traktor, Minsk
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Minsk host Zhodino in the Vysshaya Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. FC Minsk have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Zhodino's 1.24 scored and 1.28 conceded. Past meetings favor Zhodino slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 0.81) point toward FC Minsk. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
FC Minsk
15%
Draws
26%
Zhodino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Minsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Minsk a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zhodino have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
FC Minsk Clean Sheet 68%
Zhodino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Minsk Zhodino
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.28 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs FC Minsk
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs FC Minsk
0:1
Jun 14, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs Zhodino
1:5
Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Zhodino vs FC Minsk
2:0
Jan 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Zhodino vs FC Minsk
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Minsk 95 / 100
Zhodino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Minsk Zhodino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Minsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Minsk's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Zhodino conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

FC Minsk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Minsk VS Zhodino
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Minsk

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
Belshina
2 : 0
FC Minsk
11 Sept
FC Minsk
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
30 Aug
BATE
2 : 1
FC Minsk
Page 1 of 6

Zhodino

(Away)
03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Neman
1 : 0
Zhodino
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2
FC Gomel
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4
Zhodino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)