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FC MK Etancheite vs Etoile de Kivu

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Sun, Apr 12, 2026
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC MK Etancheite host Etoile de Kivu in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. FC MK Etancheite have averaged 0.55 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Etoile de Kivu's 1.31 scored and 1.35 conceded. Head-to-head, FC MK Etancheite have won 0 to Etoile de Kivu's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.19, favoring Etoile de Kivu. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
FC MK Etancheite
15%
Draws
64%
Etoile de Kivu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etoile de Kivu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • FC MK Etancheite haven't matched Etoile de Kivu's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Etoile de Kivu a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
FC MK Etancheite Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile de Kivu Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC MK Etancheite Etoile de Kivu
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.55 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Ligue 1
FC MK Etancheite vs Etoile de Kivu
0:3
Dec 15, 2025 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs FC MK Etancheite
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC MK Etancheite 10 / 100
Etoile de Kivu 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC MK Etancheite Etoile de Kivu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etoile de Kivu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile de Kivu let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

FC MK Etancheite scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

FC MK Etancheite has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC MK Etancheite VS Etoile de Kivu
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC MK Etancheite

(Home)
15 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3
Etoile de Kivu
04 Apr
Anges Verts
3 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
01 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1
FC MK Etancheite
26 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 6

Etoile de Kivu

(Away)
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5
Motema Pembe
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3
Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1
Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0
Etoile de Kivu
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0
OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)