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FC MK Etancheite vs Motema Pembe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between FC MK Etancheite and Motema Pembe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FC MK Etancheite
20%
Draws
50%
Motema Pembe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Motema Pembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Motema Pembe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Motema Pembe are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
FC MK Etancheite Clean Sheet 20%
Motema Pembe Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC MK Etancheite Motema Pembe
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 14
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.55 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Ligue 1
FC MK Etancheite vs Motema Pembe
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs FC MK Etancheite
0:0
Mar 10, 2018 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs FC MK Etancheite
3:0
Jan 5, 2018 Ligue 1
FC MK Etancheite vs Motema Pembe
0:2
Nov 20, 2016 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs FC MK Etancheite
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC MK Etancheite 12 / 100
Motema Pembe 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC MK Etancheite Motema Pembe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motema Pembe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motema Pembe let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC MK Etancheite's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: FC MK Etancheite stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC MK Etancheite VS Motema Pembe
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC MK Etancheite

(Home)
15 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3
Etoile de Kivu
04 Apr
Anges Verts
3 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
01 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1
FC MK Etancheite
26 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0
FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 6

Motema Pembe

(Away)
18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0
Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5
Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0
Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0
Motema Pembe
30 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1
AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)