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FC Moravia vs ADR Jicaral - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Pimpinati D.
29' Event
Aguilar E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Moravia
20%
Draws
52%
ADR Jicaral
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ADR Jicaral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • ADR Jicaral have won more games recently than FC Moravia.
  • ADR Jicaral are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • ADR Jicaral arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Moravia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
FC Moravia Clean Sheet 16%
ADR Jicaral Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Moravia ADR Jicaral
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.19 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs FC Moravia
2:0
Apr 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs ADR Jicaral
1:1
May 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs ADR Jicaral
3:1
May 1, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs FC Moravia
1:0
Mar 20, 2019 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs FC Moravia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Moravia Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

ADR Jicaral Compare

Top Goalscorer Pimpinati D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Moravia 23 / 100
ADR Jicaral 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Moravia ADR Jicaral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADR Jicaral Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Moravia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

ADR Jicaral's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Solid form: FC Moravia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Moravia VS ADR Jicaral
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Moravia

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Moravia
0 : 3
Carmelita
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
Page 1 of 6

ADR Jicaral

(Away)
04 Oct
ADR Jicaral
3 : 1
Cofutpa
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
CS Uruguay 2
Quepos FC 5
FC Moravia 1
ADR Jicaral 3
Pitbulls 1
Inter San Carlos 4
Santa Cruz 2
Escorpiones 5
Semi-finals
Quepos FC 2
ADR Jicaral 3
Inter San Carlos 1
Escorpiones 0
Final
ADR Jicaral 0
Inter San Carlos 1