Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Moravia vs Aserri

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Drummond T.
32' Event
Mora R.
38' Event
Venegas F.

AI Match Summary

FC Moravia in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Moravia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
FC Moravia
30%
Draws
64%
Aserri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aserri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • FC Moravia have won more games recently than Aserri.
  • Aserri are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FC Moravia Clean Sheet 20%
Aserri Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Moravia Aserri
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.22 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs FC Moravia
0:0
Mar 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Aserri
6:2
Jan 27, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs FC Moravia
0:0
Nov 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs FC Moravia
1:3
Aug 31, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Aserri
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Moravia Compare

Top Goalscorer Drummond T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mora R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Aserri Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hurlston S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Moravia 16 / 100
Aserri 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Moravia Aserri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aserri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Moravia found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Aserri conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

FC Moravia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Moravia VS Aserri
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Moravia

(Home)
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
FC Moravia
21 Aug
FC Moravia
0 : 1
Cariari Pococi
14 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 1
FC Moravia
Page 1 of 6

Aserri

(Away)
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2
Aserri
22 Aug
Aserri
1 : 1
Pitbulls
15 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 2
Aserri
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)