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FC Moravia vs Santa Ana

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
72'
89' Event

AI Match Summary

FC Moravia in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Moravia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FC Moravia
15%
Draws
42%
Santa Ana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Moravia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Ana average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of FC Moravia's 1.25.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FC Moravia Clean Sheet 16%
Santa Ana Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Moravia Santa Ana
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Santa Ana
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Santa Ana
2:1
Feb 10, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs FC Moravia
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs FC Moravia
0:2
Sep 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Santa Ana
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Moravia 30 / 100
Santa Ana 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Moravia Santa Ana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Moravia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Ana let in goals in 96% of their last 24 matches.

FC Moravia scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Santa Ana has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Moravia VS Santa Ana
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Moravia

(Home)
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
FC Moravia
Page 1 of 6

Santa Ana

(Away)
26 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 0
Santa Ana
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
01 Sept
Pitbulls
2 : 0
Santa Ana
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)