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FC Munsbach vs Kaerjeng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2015/2016
FC Munsbach Logo

FC Munsbach

Sat, Oct 31, 2015
2 - 4
05:00 PM
Kaerjeng Logo

Kaerjeng

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Kaerjeng advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
FC Munsbach
15%
Draws
68%
Kaerjeng
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaerjeng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaerjeng come out ahead of FC Munsbach on wins alone.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Kaerjeng taking it.
  • Kaerjeng arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kaerjeng, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
FC Munsbach Clean Sheet 19%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Munsbach Kaerjeng
Matches Played 11 32
Wins 2 20
Draws 0 2
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.64 2.28
Goals Conceded 3.45 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2015 Luxembourg Cup
FC Munsbach vs Kaerjeng
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Munsbach 10 / 100
Kaerjeng 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Munsbach Kaerjeng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaerjeng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Munsbach scored in 82% of their last 11 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Kaerjeng has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

FC Munsbach has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kaerjeng
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Munsbach

(Home)
09 Nov
FC Munsbach
2 : 3
Jeunesse Canach
21 Sept
FC Munsbach
3 : 1
FC Residence Walferdange
02 Oct
FC Munsbach
1 : 5
Dudelange
03 Oct
FC Munsbach
1 : 3
Jeunesse Canach
18 Oct
FC Munsbach
2 : 4
Alisontia Steinsel
Page 1 of 3

Kaerjeng

(Away)
20 Sept
Syra Mensdorf
1 : 9
Kaerjeng
16 Sept
Dudelange
2 : 4
Kaerjeng
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0
Victoria Rosport
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0
Hesperange
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Mondorf -
TBD -
FC Orania Vianden 0
Hostert 7
Sporting Bertrange 2
Alliance Aischdall 1
TBD -
Luxembourg City -
Victoria Rosport -
TBD -
Lorentzweiler 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Hesperange 3
Alisontia Steinsel 2
TBD -
Racing Luxembourg -
UNA Strassen -
TBD -
US Sandweiler 3
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Bissen 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
TBD -
Ettelbruck -
Progres Niedercorn -
TBD -
AS Hosingen 3
FC 47 Bastendorf 4
Lintgen 4
Echternach 2
TBD -
Fola -
Dudelange -
TBD -
FC Residence Walferdange 1
Erpeldange 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Red Boys Aspelt 0
TBD -
Jeunesse Esch -
Differdange -
TBD -
Union Tetange 0
Avenir Beggen 1
Grevenmacher -
TBD -
FC Munsbach 2
Kaerjeng 4
Rumelange -
TBD -
Kehlen 0
FC Mamer 1
Jeunesse Schieren 3
Mondercange 1
TBD -
Wiltz -
Esch 3
Oberkorn 1
Union Remich/Bous 2
FF Norden 3
FC Rodange 91 7
FC Brouch 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Union Titus Petange 5
1/16-finals
Mondorf 2
Hostert 1
Sporting Bertrange 0
Luxembourg City 4
Victoria Rosport 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Hesperange 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
UNA Strassen 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Bissen 1
Ettelbruck 2
Progres Niedercorn 5
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Lintgen 1
Fola 3
Dudelange 2
Erpeldange 0
Jeunesse Canach 1
Jeunesse Esch 4
Differdange 4
Avenir Beggen 1
Grevenmacher 0
Kaerjeng 1
Rumelange 2
FC Mamer 0
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Wiltz 4
Esch 3
FF Norden 0
FC Rodange 91 3
Union Titus Petange 4
1/8-finals
Mondorf 2
Luxembourg City 0
Victoria Rosport 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
UNA Strassen 3
Ettelbruck 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Fola 4
Dudelange 5
Jeunesse Esch 0
Differdange 2
Kaerjeng 3
Rumelange 1
Wiltz 0
Esch 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Quarter-finals
Mondorf 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
UNA Strassen 0
Fola 4
Dudelange 4
Kaerjeng 2
Rumelange 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Semi-finals
Mondorf 1
Fola 0
Dudelange 4
Union Titus Petange 0
Final
Mondorf 0
Dudelange 1