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FC Naples vs Richmond Kickers

USA USA

USL League One Paradise Coast Sports Complex, Naples, FL
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Naples host Richmond Kickers in the USL League One. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: FC Naples at 1.07 goals for, 1.79 against; Richmond Kickers at 0.97 for, 2.14 against. Head-to-head, FC Naples have won 3 to Richmond Kickers's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.44) back FC Naples to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
FC Naples
30%
Draws
12%
Richmond Kickers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Naples

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Richmond Kickers haven't matched FC Naples's recent run of results.
  • FC Naples are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Naples here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 16%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Naples Richmond Kickers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs FC Naples
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs FC Naples
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Richmond Kickers
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Naples 48 / 100
Richmond Kickers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Naples Richmond Kickers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Naples Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Richmond Kickers conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

FC Naples scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FC Naples remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Naples VS Richmond Kickers
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Naples

(Home)
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
FC Naples
05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0
FC Naples
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0
Union Omaha
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Richmond Kickers

(Away)
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2
Richmond Kickers
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 28 18 4 6 50:30 58
2 Charlotte Independence 27 17 5 5 63:39 56
3 Forward Madison 27 15 6 6 50:26 51
4 One Knoxville 27 13 8 6 44:31 47
5 Athletic Club Boise 27 13 7 7 43:37 46
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 26 13 4 9 47:38 43
7 Spokane Velocity 24 12 4 8 36:33 40
8 Fort Wayne 26 10 7 9 41:35 37
9 Corpus Christi FC 26 8 9 9 30:36 33
10 AV Alta FC 28 8 8 12 34:40 32
11 Sarasota Paradise 26 8 6 12 33:39 30
12 Portland Hearts of Pine 27 7 9 11 39:46 30
13 Westchester SC 27 8 5 14 46:45 29
14 FC Naples 26 8 4 14 29:43 28
15 Greenville Triumph 26 6 5 15 29:48 23
16 New York Cosmos 26 6 4 16 32:52 22
17 Richmond Kickers 26 5 5 16 25:53 20
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)