Sport Picks
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay vs Denbigh
Wales
FA Cup 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
Denbigh in this FA Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- FC Nomads of Connahs Quay haven't matched Denbigh's recent run of results.
- Model gives FC Nomads of Connahs Quay a 60% chance of winning this.
- Denbigh arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Denbigh, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay Clean Sheet 18%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Nomads of Connahs Quay | Denbigh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 7 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2015 FA Cup
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay vs Denbigh
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 58 / 100
Denbigh 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay Denbigh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FCN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Denbigh has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay scored in 71% of their last 7 games.
Recent resilience: FC Nomads of Connahs Quay stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Denbigh
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
(Home) 04 Oct
Penrhyncoch
2 : 0 FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
03 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
1 : 3 Denbigh
29 Nov
Newtown
2 : 0 FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
08 Nov
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
5 : 2 Llangollen
04 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
1 : 0 Brynford
Page 1 of 2
03 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
1 : 3 Denbigh
08 Nov
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
5 : 2 Llangollen
04 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
1 : 0 Brynford
12 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
3 : 0 Pwllheli
Denbigh
(Away) 17 Jul
Denbigh
0 : 2 Airbus UK Broughton FC
03 Jul
Colwyn Bay
1 : 2 Denbigh
18 Apr
Caersws FC
6 : 0 Denbigh
03 Apr
Denbigh
1 : 0 Penrhyncoch
31 Mar
Denbigh
1 : 1 Holyhead
Page 1 of 7
03 Jul
Colwyn Bay
1 : 2 Denbigh
18 Apr
Caersws FC
6 : 0 Denbigh
27 Mar
Rhyl
3 : 0 Denbigh
13 Mar
Buckley
1 : 4 Denbigh
27 Feb
Holywell Town FC
5 : 1 Denbigh
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Denbigh3
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay1
Cefn Albion3
Conwy Borough5
Aberdare Town3
Cwmbach Royal Stars0
Briton Ferry2
Barry Town3
Cefn Druids4
Gresford0
Bow Street1
Porthmadog3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhyl-
Flint Town4
Carno FC0
Berriew FC1
Rhostyllen2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newtown-
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Llantwit Fardre0
Pontypridd United0
Penybont2
Garden Village2
Rhayader1
Ton Pentre0
STM Sports4
Holywell Town FC1
Ruthin Town0
Nantlle Vale FC1
Knighton Town2
Caerleon2
Treharris Athletic1
Butetown FC1
Afan Lido5
Buckley1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix0
Gwalchmai0
Mold Alexandra3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llandudno FC-
Prestatyn3
Corwen2
Hawarden Rangers0
Llanfair United4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Port Talbot-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanelli6
Panteg3
Llwydcoed0
Cambrian United3
Brecon Corinthians1
Aberaeron0
Risca United2
Aberbargoed Buds3
Goytre Utd4
Monmouth2
Undy0
Caerau Ely4
Goytre AFC2
Llantwit Major0
Cwmbran Town1
Dinas Powys4
Llandudno Junction6
Caersws FC1
Llanrug2
Caernarfon3
Penrhyncoch5
Aberffraw0
Waterloo Rovers1
Trearddur Bay7
West End3
Treowen2
Llandrindod0
Cwmbran Celtic3
Bala-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Carmarthen Town-
Bangor City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chirk AAA FC5
Prestatyn Sports0
Pentraeth0
Holyhead8
Guilsfield4
Glantraeth FC2
Queens Park0
Penrhyndeudraeth FC2
Caldicot2
Ebbw Vale F.C.1
Taffs Well1
Cwmamman United2
Haverfordwest-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
1/32-finals
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Denbigh4
Conwy Borough1
Aberdare Town2
Barry Town7
Cefn Druids2
Porthmadog0
TBD-
Rhyl-
Flint Town2
Rhostyllen0
TBD-
Newtown-
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Penybont2
Garden Village1
STM Sports4
Holywell Town FC6
Knighton Town3
Caerleon0
Afan Lido2
Buckley1
Mold Alexandra0
TBD-
Llandudno FC-
Prestatyn5
Llanfair United3
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Port Talbot-
TBD-
Llanelli0
Cambrian United2
Brecon Corinthians3
Aberbargoed Buds0
Goytre Utd1
Caerau Ely4
Goytre AFC4
Dinas Powys1
Llandudno Junction0
Caernarfon4
Penrhyncoch4
Trearddur Bay0
West End2
Cwmbran Celtic3
Bala-
TBD-
TBD-
Carmarthen Town-
Bangor City-
TBD-
Chirk AAA FC0
Holyhead4
Guilsfield3
Penrhyndeudraeth FC2
Caldicot2
Cwmamman United4
Haverfordwest-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
1/16-finals
TNS3
Aberystwyth0
Denbigh1
Barry Town6
Cefn Druids1
Rhyl0
Flint Town0
Newtown2
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
STM Sports0
Holywell Town FC0
Afan Lido1
Buckley1
Llandudno FC0
Prestatyn0
Connahs Q.3
Port Talbot2
Cambrian United1
Brecon Corinthians0
Caerau Ely4
Goytre AFC4
Caernarfon2
Penrhyncoch2
Cwmbran Celtic3
Bala3
Carmarthen Town1
Bangor City1
Holyhead2
Guilsfield3
Cwmamman United0
Haverfordwest0
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
1/8-finals
TNS5
Barry Town2
Cefn Druids0
Newtown6
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Afan Lido0
Buckley1
Connahs Q.4
Port Talbot3
Caerau Ely0
Goytre AFC3
Cwmbran Celtic5
Bala3
Holyhead1
Guilsfield0
Airbus UK Broughton FC3
Quarter-finals
TNS1
Newtown0
Cardiff Metropolitan University0
Connahs Q.2
Port Talbot2
Cwmbran Celtic1
Bala0
Airbus UK Broughton FC3
Semi-finals
TNS5
Connahs Q.0
Port Talbot0
Airbus UK Broughton FC7
Final
TNS2
Airbus UK Broughton FC0