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FC Nottingen vs Backnang

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 game between FC Nottingen and Backnang finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Backnang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
FC Nottingen
15%
Draws
64%
Backnang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Backnang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • FC Nottingen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Backnang a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
FC Nottingen Clean Sheet 10%
Backnang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Nottingen Backnang
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.21 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs FC Nottingen
2:1
Apr 30, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs Backnang
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs FC Nottingen
1:2
May 3, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Backnang vs FC Nottingen
4:1
Oct 19, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs Backnang
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Nottingen 10 / 100
Backnang 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Nottingen Backnang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Backnang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Nottingen scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Backnang has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Nottingen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Nottingen VS Backnang
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Nottingen

(Home)
21 Aug
Backnang
2 : 1
FC Nottingen
14 Aug
FC Nottingen
2 : 0
FC Normannia Gmund
07 Aug
Reutlingen
3 : 1
FC Nottingen
30 May
Bietigheim-Bissingen
3 : 2
FC Nottingen
22 May
FC Nottingen
1 : 1
TSV Essingen
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Backnang

(Away)
21 Aug
Backnang
2 : 1
FC Nottingen
15 Aug
Teningen
1 : 4
Backnang
08 Aug
Backnang
5 : 0
1. FC Muhlhausen
30 May
Aalen
4 : 1
Backnang
23 May
Backnang
1 : 0
Goppinger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalen 34 26 5 3 87:24 83
2 VfR Mannheim 34 20 9 5 81:34 69
3 FC Nottingen 34 18 4 12 82:61 58
4 Ravensburg 34 16 9 9 61:52 57
5 TSV Essingen 34 14 12 8 54:58 54
6 Oberachern 34 16 6 12 54:62 54
7 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 12 12 10 68:61 48
8 Reutlingen 34 12 11 11 56:50 47
9 FC 08 Villingen 34 12 11 11 55:56 47
10 Karlsruher II 34 11 10 13 54:61 43
11 Backnang 34 12 6 16 50:67 42
12 Turkish SV Singen 34 12 4 18 55:81 40
13 FC Normannia Gmund 34 9 12 13 53:51 39
14 Turkspor Neckarsulm 34 11 6 17 52:61 39
15 Goppinger 34 9 9 16 53:53 36
16 Hollenbach 34 9 8 17 56:69 35
17 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 7 12 15 54:81 33
18 Denzlingen 34 5 4 25 35:78 19
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)