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FC Nottingen vs Hollenbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 game between FC Nottingen and Hollenbach finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Nottingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Nottingen
6%
Draws
4%
Hollenbach
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Nottingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Nottingen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FC Nottingen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
FC Nottingen Clean Sheet 18%
Hollenbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Nottingen Hollenbach
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs Hollenbach
5:3
Aug 30, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs FC Nottingen
3:2
Dec 7, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs Hollenbach
4:1
Aug 16, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs FC Nottingen
2:2
Apr 5, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs Hollenbach
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Nottingen 85 / 100
Hollenbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Nottingen Hollenbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Nottingen's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Hollenbach has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

FC Nottingen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Nottingen VS Hollenbach
2 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Nottingen

(Home)
30 May
Bietigheim-Bissingen
3 : 2
FC Nottingen
22 May
FC Nottingen
1 : 1
TSV Essingen
15 May
FC Nottingen
1 : 0
Ravensburg
09 May
Denzlingen
1 : 4
FC Nottingen
30 Apr
FC Nottingen
1 : 3
Backnang
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Hollenbach

(Away)
04 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 4
Ansbach
30 May
Hollenbach
4 : 3
1. CfR Pforzheim
23 May
Turkspor Neckarsulm
2 : 0
Hollenbach
16 May
Hollenbach
1 : 2
FC 08 Villingen
09 May
Reutlingen
5 : 2
Hollenbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aalen34265387:2483
2VfR Mannheim34209581:3469
3FC Nottingen341841282:6158
4Ravensburg34169961:5257
5TSV Essingen341412854:5854
6Oberachern341661254:6254
71. CfR Pforzheim3412121068:6148
8Reutlingen3412111156:5047
9FC 08 Villingen3412111155:5647
10Karlsruher II3411101354:6143
11Backnang341261650:6742
12Turkish SV Singen341241855:8140
13FC Normannia Gmund349121353:5139
14Turkspor Neckarsulm341161752:6139
15Goppinger34991653:5336
16Hollenbach34981756:6935
17Bietigheim-Bissingen347121554:8133
18Denzlingen34542535:7819
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)