Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Nottingen vs Neckarsulm SU

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
de Santis E.
70' Event
McDonald E. G.
77' Event
Fassler B.

AI Match Summary

FC Nottingen in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Nottingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Nottingen
15%
Draws
85%
Neckarsulm SU
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neckarsulm SU

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Neckarsulm SU haven't matched FC Nottingen's recent run of results.
  • FC Nottingen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Nottingen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
FC Nottingen Clean Sheet 16%
Neckarsulm SU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Nottingen Neckarsulm SU
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 16 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 2.23 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs Neckarsulm SU
3:1
Oct 15, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Neckarsulm SU vs FC Nottingen
0:2
Mar 26, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Neckarsulm SU vs FC Nottingen
0:1
Sep 10, 2021 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs Neckarsulm SU
2:1
Mar 13, 2021 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Neckarsulm SU vs FC Nottingen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Nottingen Compare

Top Goalscorer de Santis E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fassler B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Neckarsulm SU Compare

Top Goalscorer McDonald E. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Nottingen 84 / 100
Neckarsulm SU 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Nottingen Neckarsulm SU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Nottingen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Nottingen scored in 86% of their last 35 outings.

Neckarsulm SU let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Neckarsulm SU registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Nottingen VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Nottingen

(Home)
13 Sept
Turkish SV Singen
4 : 3
FC Nottingen
09 Sept
FC Nottingen
0 : 1
Bahlinger
04 Sept
Holzhausen FC
3 : 1
FC Nottingen
29 Aug
FC Nottingen
0 : 1
Oberachern
21 Aug
Backnang
2 : 1
FC Nottingen
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Neckarsulm SU

(Away)
29 Jan
Astoria Walldorf
4 : 0
Neckarsulm SU
03 Feb
Neckarsulm SU
1 : 4
Freiberg
03 Feb
Backnang
1 : 1
Neckarsulm SU
12 Aug
Walldorf II
1 : 0
Neckarsulm SU
27 May
Oberachern
3 : 0
Neckarsulm SU
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stutt. Kickers 34 26 6 2 108:17 84
2 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 22 3 9 66:42 69
3 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 21 3 10 80:51 66
4 Goppinger 34 16 10 8 57:48 58
5 Mutschelbach 34 16 9 9 71:66 57
6 Oberachern 34 14 7 13 57:52 49
7 Holzhausen FC 34 13 9 12 69:62 48
8 Hollenbach 34 14 6 14 46:42 48
9 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 14 5 15 68:72 47
10 FC Nottingen 34 13 6 15 68:66 45
11 FC 08 Villingen 34 12 8 14 69:62 44
12 Offenburger 34 11 7 16 48:75 40
13 Backnang 34 11 6 17 56:76 39
14 Reutlingen 34 10 7 17 46:63 37
15 Ravensburg 34 8 13 13 44:62 37
16 Rielasingen - Arlen 34 10 7 17 55:77 37
17 Neckarsulm SU 34 7 10 17 46:68 31
18 Freiburger 34 4 6 24 38:91 18
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)