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FC Nottingen vs Rielasingen - Arlen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023
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Match Events

44' Event
Hecht-Zirpel N.
58' Event
Bleise M.
61' Event
Hecht-Zirpel N.

AI Match Summary

FC Nottingen in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Nottingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FC Nottingen
20%
Draws
50%
Rielasingen - Arlen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rielasingen - Arlen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Nottingen lately — more wins on the board than Rielasingen - Arlen.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on FC Nottingen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
FC Nottingen Clean Sheet 20%
Rielasingen - Arlen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Nottingen Rielasingen - Arlen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 2.23 1.7
Goals Conceded 2 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs Rielasingen - Arlen
3:2
Oct 30, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Rielasingen - Arlen vs FC Nottingen
1:1
Mar 19, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs Rielasingen - Arlen
3:2
Sep 5, 2021 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Rielasingen - Arlen vs FC Nottingen
1:0
May 26, 2021 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Rielasingen - Arlen vs FC Nottingen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Nottingen Compare

Top Goalscorer Hecht-Zirpel N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Rielasingen - Arlen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bleise M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matt C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Nottingen 85 / 100
Rielasingen - Arlen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Nottingen Rielasingen - Arlen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Nottingen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Nottingen scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Rielasingen - Arlen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: FC Nottingen remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Nottingen VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Nottingen

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Nottingen
10 : 0
Turkspor Neckarsulm
26 Sept
TSV Essingen
2 : 1
FC Nottingen
18 Sept
FC Nottingen
2 : 3
Young Boys Reutlingen
13 Sept
Turkish SV Singen
4 : 3
FC Nottingen
09 Sept
FC Nottingen
0 : 1
Bahlinger
Page 1 of 6

Rielasingen - Arlen

(Away)
27 May
Backnang
3 : 1
Rielasingen - Arlen
20 May
Rielasingen - Arlen
4 : 1
Bietigheim-Bissingen
13 May
FC Nottingen
3 : 2
Rielasingen - Arlen
07 May
Rielasingen - Arlen
2 : 2
Holzhausen FC
29 Apr
Freiburger
2 : 2
Rielasingen - Arlen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stutt. Kickers 34 26 6 2 108:17 84
2 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 22 3 9 66:42 69
3 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 21 3 10 80:51 66
4 Goppinger 34 16 10 8 57:48 58
5 Mutschelbach 34 16 9 9 71:66 57
6 Oberachern 34 14 7 13 57:52 49
7 Holzhausen FC 34 13 9 12 69:62 48
8 Hollenbach 34 14 6 14 46:42 48
9 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 14 5 15 68:72 47
10 FC Nottingen 34 13 6 15 68:66 45
11 FC 08 Villingen 34 12 8 14 69:62 44
12 Offenburger 34 11 7 16 48:75 40
13 Backnang 34 11 6 17 56:76 39
14 Reutlingen 34 10 7 17 46:63 37
15 Ravensburg 34 8 13 13 44:62 37
16 Rielasingen - Arlen 34 10 7 17 55:77 37
17 Neckarsulm SU 34 7 10 17 46:68 31
18 Freiburger 34 4 6 24 38:91 18
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)