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FC Nottingen vs TSV Essingen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Nottingen
20%
Draws
80%
TSV Essingen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSV Essingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • FC Nottingen have won more games recently than TSV Essingen.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
FC Nottingen Clean Sheet 16%
TSV Essingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Nottingen TSV Essingen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 10
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.6
Goals Conceded 2 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs FC Nottingen
2:1
May 22, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs TSV Essingen
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs FC Nottingen
6:2
Apr 26, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs TSV Essingen
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs FC Nottingen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Nottingen 31 / 100
TSV Essingen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Nottingen TSV Essingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Nottingen's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

TSV Essingen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

TSV Essingen lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Nottingen VS TSV Essingen
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Nottingen

(Home)
26 Sept
TSV Essingen
2 : 1
FC Nottingen
18 Sept
FC Nottingen
2 : 3
Young Boys Reutlingen
13 Sept
Turkish SV Singen
4 : 3
FC Nottingen
09 Sept
FC Nottingen
0 : 1
Bahlinger
04 Sept
Holzhausen FC
3 : 1
FC Nottingen
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TSV Essingen

(Away)
26 Sept
TSV Essingen
2 : 1
FC Nottingen
19 Sept
Teningen
2 : 1
TSV Essingen
12 Sept
TSV Essingen
2 : 2
1. FC Muhlhausen
09 Sept
Karlsruher II
0 : 0
TSV Essingen
05 Sept
TSV Essingen
0 : 4
1. CfR Pforzheim
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalen 34 26 5 3 87:24 83
2 VfR Mannheim 34 20 9 5 81:34 69
3 FC Nottingen 34 18 4 12 82:61 58
4 Ravensburg 34 16 9 9 61:52 57
5 TSV Essingen 34 14 12 8 54:58 54
6 Oberachern 34 16 6 12 54:62 54
7 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 12 12 10 68:61 48
8 Reutlingen 34 12 11 11 56:50 47
9 FC 08 Villingen 34 12 11 11 55:56 47
10 Karlsruher II 34 11 10 13 54:61 43
11 Backnang 34 12 6 16 50:67 42
12 Turkish SV Singen 34 12 4 18 55:81 40
13 FC Normannia Gmund 34 9 12 13 53:51 39
14 Turkspor Neckarsulm 34 11 6 17 52:61 39
15 Goppinger 34 9 9 16 53:53 36
16 Hollenbach 34 9 8 17 56:69 35
17 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 7 12 15 54:81 33
18 Denzlingen 34 5 4 25 35:78 19
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)