Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Brusco M.
45'
45'
Pignat A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between FC Obermais and Conegliano finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Conegliano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Conegliano come out ahead of FC Obermais on wins alone.
- Win probability leans FC Obermais's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Obermais Clean Sheet 20%
Conegliano Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Obermais | Conegliano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs FC Obermais
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group C
FC Obermais vs Conegliano
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs FC Obermais
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Obermais Compare
Top Goalscorer Brusco M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Conegliano Compare
Top Goalscorer Pignat A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Obermais 42 / 100
Conegliano 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Obermais Conegliano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: FC Obermais scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: FC Obermais remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Conegliano has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
FC Obermais VS Conegliano
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Obermais
(Home) 20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0 FC Obermais
16 Sept
FC Obermais
1 : 1 Lavarian Mortean Esperia
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1 FC Obermais
06 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 5 Cjarlins Muzane
05 Aug
Levico Terme
0 : 0 FC Obermais
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
FC Obermais
1 : 1 Lavarian Mortean Esperia
06 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 5 Cjarlins Muzane
26 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1 Conegliano
19 Apr
FC Obermais
0 : 0 Altavilla
02 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1 Luparense FC
Page 1 of 3
Conegliano
(Away) 20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0 FC Obermais
16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1 Conegliano
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0 Bassano Virtus
06 Sept
Campodarsego
4 : 0 Conegliano
03 May
Conegliano
0 : 1 Altavilla
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16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1 Conegliano
06 Sept
Campodarsego
4 : 0 Conegliano
26 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1 Conegliano
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2 Conegliano
29 Mar
Legnago Salus
1 : 0 Conegliano
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Treviso | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 50:25 | 69 |
| 2 | Legnago Salus | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 61 |
| 3 | Clodiense | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 47:29 | 60 |
| 4 | Este | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:29 | 55 |
| 5 | Mestre | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:29 | 55 |
| 6 | Cjarlins Muzane | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 41:39 | 51 |
| 7 | Brian Lignano | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:34 | 50 |
| 8 | Conegliano | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 36:28 | 50 |
| 9 | Bassano Virtus | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Campodarsego | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 37:34 | 48 |
| 11 | Altavilla | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:24 | 46 |
| 12 | Calvi Noale | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | Luparense FC | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 36:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Vigasio | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 44:46 | 38 |
| 15 | San Luigi | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:54 | 34 |
| 16 | FC Obermais | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 17 | Adriese | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 24:62 | 18 |
| 18 | Portogruaro | 34 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 25:81 | 11 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)
