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FC Obermais vs Mestre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ghiotti E.
74' Event
Garavini M.
76' Event
Garavini M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FC Obermais
35%
Draws
35%
Mestre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • FC Obermais haven't matched Mestre's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Mestre have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
FC Obermais Clean Sheet 19%
Mestre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Obermais Mestre
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group C
FC Obermais vs Mestre
2:2
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs FC Obermais
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group C
FC Obermais vs Mestre
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Obermais Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghiotti E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tazza S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Garavini M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Obermais 32 / 100
Mestre 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Obermais Mestre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mestre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Obermais scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Mestre let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FC Obermais stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Obermais VS Mestre
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Obermais

(Home)
04 Oct
Triestina
2 : 0
FC Obermais
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2
Mestre
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0
FC Obermais
16 Sept
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
Page 1 of 6

Mestre

(Away)
07 Oct
Mestre
0 : 2
Schio
04 Oct
Mestre
1 : 1
Campodarsego
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2
Mestre
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2
Altavilla
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)