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Stadium Background

FC Obermais vs Portogruaro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Stecher T.
21' Event
Brusco M.
51' Event
Brusco M.

AI Match Summary

FC Obermais in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Obermais.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
FC Obermais
30%
Draws
0%
Portogruaro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Obermais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Portogruaro haven't matched FC Obermais's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Obermais's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Obermais Clean Sheet 20%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Obermais Portogruaro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 1
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.13 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group C
FC Obermais vs Portogruaro
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs FC Obermais
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Obermais Compare

Top Goalscorer Brusco M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stecher T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Portogruaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Obermais 85 / 100
Portogruaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Obermais Portogruaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Obermais Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portogruaro has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

FC Obermais went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Portogruaro registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

FC Obermais scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Obermais VS Portogruaro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.71
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.14
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Obermais

(Home)
05 Aug
Levico Terme
0 : 0
FC Obermais
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
10 May
San Luigi
1 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
San Luigi
1 : 1
FC Obermais
26 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Conegliano
Page 1 of 7

Portogruaro

(Away)
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
26 Apr
Legnago Salus
5 : 0
Portogruaro
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)