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FC Obermais vs San Luigi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Rohrer O.
75' Event
De Nuzzo G.
84' Event
Forte L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between FC Obermais and San Luigi finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Luigi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
FC Obermais
30%
Draws
12%
San Luigi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Obermais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • San Luigi haven't matched FC Obermais's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on FC Obermais taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
FC Obermais Clean Sheet 68%
San Luigi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Obermais San Luigi
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.18 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group C
San Luigi vs FC Obermais
1:3
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group C
San Luigi vs FC Obermais
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group C
FC Obermais vs San Luigi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Obermais Compare

Top Goalscorer Rohrer O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

San Luigi Compare

Top Goalscorer De Nuzzo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forte L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Obermais 77 / 100
San Luigi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Obermais San Luigi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Obermais Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Obermais's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: San Luigi conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FC Obermais remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Obermais VS San Luigi
1.38 Goals Scored 0.83
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Obermais

(Home)
04 Oct
Triestina
2 : 0
FC Obermais
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2
Mestre
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0
FC Obermais
16 Sept
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
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San Luigi

(Away)
10 May
San Luigi
1 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
San Luigi
1 : 1
FC Obermais
26 Apr
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 2
San Luigi
19 Apr
San Luigi
0 : 2
Treviso
12 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
San Luigi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)