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FC Olimpiki Tbilisi vs Gagra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pirveli Liga 2007/2008 game between FC Olimpiki Tbilisi and Gagra finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gagra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
FC Olimpiki Tbilisi
20%
Draws
36%
Gagra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Olimpiki Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Gagra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Olimpiki Tbilisi are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Gagra have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
FC Olimpiki Tbilisi Clean Sheet 19%
Gagra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Olimpiki Tbilisi Gagra
Matches Played 27 44
Wins 7 22
Draws 4 12
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra vs FC Olimpiki Tbilisi
5:2
Nov 24, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Olimpiki Tbilisi vs Gagra
2:3
Sep 24, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra vs FC Olimpiki Tbilisi
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Olimpiki Tbilisi 76 / 100
Gagra 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Olimpiki Tbilisi Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Olimpiki Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gagra has conceded goals in 80% of their last 44 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

FC Olimpiki Tbilisi found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: FC Olimpiki Tbilisi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gagra
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Olimpiki Tbilisi

(Home)
16 May
FC Olimpiki Tbilisi
3 : 0
Norchi Dinamo Tbilisi
10 May
FC Tbilisi
2 : 1
FC Olimpiki Tbilisi
04 May
FC Olimpiki Tbilisi
3 : 0
Ameri Tbilisi II
24 Apr
Gagra
5 : 2
FC Olimpiki Tbilisi
19 Apr
FC Olimpiki Tbilisi
0 : 1
Meshakre
Page 1 of 6

Gagra

(Away)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gagra 27 16 6 5 59:36 54
2 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 27 14 7 6 41:24 49
3 WIT Georgia 2 27 14 6 7 41:21 48
4 Meshakre 27 13 9 5 34:22 48
5 Chikhura Sachkhere 27 12 7 8 40:37 43
6 FC Tbilisi 27 9 8 10 35:41 35
7 Kakheti Telavi 27 10 4 13 38:41 34
8 Ameri Tbilisi II 27 9 2 16 42:44 29
9 FC Olimpiki Tbilisi 27 7 4 16 38:52 25
10 Norchi Dinamo Tbilisi 27 1 7 19 20:70 10
Promotion - Pirveli Liga 2007/2008 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chiatura 27 21 4 2 56:17 67
2 Merani Martvili 27 13 5 9 36:25 44
3 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 14 2 11 39:41 44
4 FC Zestaponi 2 27 12 4 11 39:28 40
5 Kolkheti 1913 27 11 7 9 36:33 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 11 6 10 37:31 39
7 Khobi 27 10 8 9 35:27 38
8 Samtredia 27 9 5 13 35:50 32
9 Universiteti Kutaisi 27 9 3 15 24:29 30
10 Racha Ambrolauri 27 2 2 23 17:73 8
Promotion - Pirveli Liga 2007/2008 (Play Offs)