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FC Olympia vs Tacoma Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
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AI Match Summary

FC Olympia in this USL League Two 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Olympia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Olympia
20%
Draws
40%
Tacoma Stars
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • FC Olympia have won more games recently than Tacoma Stars.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular USL League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
FC Olympia Clean Sheet 10%
Tacoma Stars Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Olympia Tacoma Stars
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.65 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.42 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 USL League Two
FC Olympia vs Tacoma Stars
4:5
May 29, 2026 USL League Two
Tacoma Stars vs FC Olympia
4:1
Jul 7, 2025 USL League Two
FC Olympia vs Tacoma Stars
5:1
Jun 15, 2025 USL League Two
Tacoma Stars vs FC Olympia
2:3
Jul 14, 2024 USL League Two
FC Olympia vs Tacoma Stars
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Olympia 29 / 100
Tacoma Stars 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Olympia Tacoma Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Olympia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacoma Stars let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 6.40 goals as a typical output.

FC Olympia found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Tacoma Stars has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Olympia VS Tacoma Stars
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Olympia

(Home)
05 Jul
West Seattle Junction
5 : 2
FC Olympia
01 Jul
Portland Bangers
2 : 0
FC Olympia
21 Jun
FC Olympia
3 : 1
Midlakes United
14 Jun
Bigfoot
1 : 1
FC Olympia
13 Jun
FC Olympia
4 : 5
Tacoma Stars
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Tacoma Stars

(Away)
08 Jul
Tacoma Stars
2 : 1
Midlakes United
05 Jul
Ballard
7 : 0
Tacoma Stars
04 Jul
Tacoma Stars
2 : 2
Snohomish United
01 Jul
Snohomish United
2 : 1
Tacoma Stars
28 Jun
Tacoma Stars
1 : 2
West Seattle Junction
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