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FC Oryol vs Arsenal Tula 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 Tsentral'nyy Stadion Im. V. I. Lenina, Oryol
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Match Events

32' Event
Nabatov E.
43' Event
Oshkin A.
59' Event
Borisov G.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between FC Oryol and Arsenal Tula 2 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Oryol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FC Oryol
20%
Draws
20%
Arsenal Tula 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Oryol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • FC Oryol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Oryol's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 19%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Oryol Arsenal Tula 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Arsenal Tula 2
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:2
Jun 8, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs FC Oryol
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs FC Oryol
1:3
May 12, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Oryol Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabatov E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oshkin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gusarov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Oryol 42 / 100
Arsenal Tula 2 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Oryol Arsenal Tula 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Arsenal Tula 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

FC Oryol scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Oryol VS Arsenal Tula 2
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Oryol

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Oryol
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
26 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 2
FC Oryol
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
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Arsenal Tula 2

(Away)
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0
M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
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