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FC Oryol vs FC Sevastopol

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ruban S.
25' Event
Bugaenko I.
36' Event
Bugaenko I.

AI Match Summary

FC Sevastopol in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Sevastopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FC Oryol
33%
Draws
40%
FC Sevastopol
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Sevastopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Sevastopol lately — more wins on the board than FC Oryol.
  • FC Sevastopol are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 15%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Oryol FC Sevastopol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 20
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Oryol vs FC Sevastopol
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Oryol Compare

Top Goalscorer Bugaenko I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Izotov P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Pigulevsky D. V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ruban S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Oryol 27 / 100
FC Sevastopol 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Oryol FC Sevastopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: FC Oryol scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: FC Oryol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: FC Sevastopol conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Oryol VS FC Sevastopol
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%