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FC Oryol vs Kursk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Oshkin A.

AI Match Summary

FC Oryol in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Oryol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FC Oryol
20%
Draws
38%
Kursk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Oryol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Oryol have won more games recently than Kursk.
  • Model gives FC Oryol a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 12%
Kursk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Oryol Kursk
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Kursk
1:0
Aug 21, 2024 Russian Cup
Kursk vs FC Oryol
0:2
Apr 9, 2017 FNL 2 - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Kursk
0:3
Aug 25, 2016 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kursk vs FC Oryol
0:0
Oct 25, 2015 FNL 2 - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Kursk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Oryol Compare

Top Goalscorer Oshkin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kursk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Oryol 40 / 100
Kursk 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Oryol Kursk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Oryol scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Kursk has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: FC Oryol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FC Oryol VS Kursk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Oryol

(Home)
04 Jul
FC Oryol
0 : 2
M. Lipetsk
27 Jun
Penza
3 : 1
FC Oryol
20 Jun
FC Oryol
4 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Jun
Strogino Moscow
2 : 3
FC Oryol
06 Jun
FC Oryol
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
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Kursk

(Away)
04 Jul
Kursk
0 : 2
Spartak Tambov
27 Jun
Kursk
6 : 3
Saturn Ramenskoye
20 Jun
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0
Kursk
13 Jun
Kursk
0 : 0
Ryazan
06 Jun
R. Volgograd 2
1 : 2
Kursk
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