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FC Oryol vs Kursk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Oshkin A.

AI Match Summary

FC Oryol in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Oryol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
FC Oryol
15%
Draws
64%
Kursk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kursk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Kursk have won more games recently than FC Oryol.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 16%
Kursk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Oryol Kursk
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.32 1.24
Goals Conceded 2 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kursk vs FC Oryol
3:2
May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Kursk
1:0
Aug 21, 2024 Russian Cup
Kursk vs FC Oryol
0:2
Apr 9, 2017 FNL 2 - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Kursk
0:3
Aug 25, 2016 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kursk vs FC Oryol
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Oryol Compare

Top Goalscorer Oshkin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Kursk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Oryol 31 / 100
Kursk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Oryol Kursk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Oryol scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Kursk has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Kursk's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Oryol VS Kursk
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Oryol

(Home)
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
30 Aug
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1 : 0
FC Oryol
22 Aug
FC Oryol
0 : 2
Ryazan
15 Aug
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 0
FC Oryol
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Kursk

(Away)
12 Sept
Kursk
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
29 Aug
Kursk
0 : 2
Rodina Moscow 3
25 Aug
Kursk
1 : 2
Kaluga
22 Aug
M. Lipetsk
2 : 1
Kursk
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