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FC Oryol vs Spartak Tambov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Petrov R.
33' Event
Petrov R.
35' Event
Kuptsov D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between FC Oryol and Spartak Tambov finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Tambov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FC Oryol
15%
Draws
58%
Spartak Tambov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartak Tambov come out ahead of FC Oryol on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Spartak Tambov's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Spartak Tambov have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 15%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Oryol Spartak Tambov
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.14 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs FC Oryol
3:0
May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Spartak Tambov
1:5
Aug 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Spartak Tambov
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs FC Oryol
4:0
Aug 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs FC Oryol
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Oryol Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyatin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrov R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kuptsov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Oryol 10 / 100
Spartak Tambov 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Oryol Spartak Tambov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Tambov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

FC Oryol's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Spartak Tambov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: FC Oryol stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Oryol VS Spartak Tambov
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Oryol

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Oryol
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
26 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 2
FC Oryol
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
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Spartak Tambov

(Away)
03 Oct
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
26 Sept
Spartak Tambov
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
19 Sept
Salyut-Belgorod
2 : 2
Spartak Tambov
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
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