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FC Oryol vs Spartak Tambov

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Petrov R.
33' Event
Petrov R.
35' Event
Kuptsov D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between FC Oryol and Spartak Tambov finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Tambov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
FC Oryol
22%
Draws
60%
Spartak Tambov
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartak Tambov come out ahead of FC Oryol on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Spartak Tambov's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Spartak Tambov have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 11%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Oryol Spartak Tambov
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 23
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Spartak Tambov
1:5
Aug 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Spartak Tambov
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs FC Oryol
4:0
Aug 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs FC Oryol
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Spartak Tambov
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Oryol Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyatin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrov R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kuptsov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Oryol 18 / 100
Spartak Tambov 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Oryol Spartak Tambov

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Oryol scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FC Oryol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Spartak Tambov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Oryol VS Spartak Tambov
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%