Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Pirveli Liga 2014/2015 game between FC Ozurgeti and Gagra finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Ozurgeti.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gagra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gagra come out ahead of FC Ozurgeti on wins alone.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Gagra taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FC Ozurgeti Clean Sheet 20%
Gagra Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Ozurgeti | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Ozurgeti vs Gagra
3:1
Sep 25, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra vs FC Ozurgeti
4:1
May 15, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Ozurgeti vs Gagra
1:0
Mar 28, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra vs FC Ozurgeti
1:1
Nov 29, 2014 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Ozurgeti vs Gagra
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Ozurgeti 10 / 100
Gagra 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Ozurgeti Gagra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gagra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gagra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.
FC Ozurgeti found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Gagra lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Gagra
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Ozurgeti
(Home) 21 May
FC Ozurgeti
2 : 4 Chiatura
16 May
Algeti Marneuli
4 : 1 FC Ozurgeti
10 May
FC Ozurgeti
2 : 4 WIT Georgia
30 Apr
Odishi 1919
4 : 1 FC Ozurgeti
24 Apr
FC Ozurgeti
0 : 1 Matchakhela
Page 1 of 6
21 May
FC Ozurgeti
2 : 4 Chiatura
10 May
FC Ozurgeti
2 : 4 WIT Georgia
24 Apr
FC Ozurgeti
0 : 1 Matchakhela
12 Apr
FC Ozurgeti
3 : 1 Samgurali
04 Apr
FC Ozurgeti
5 : 4 Betlemi Keda
Page 1 of 3
Gagra
(Away) 19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1 Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0 Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1 Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0 Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0 Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0 Gagra
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0 Gagra
22 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 0 Gagra
08 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 2 Gagra
02 Aug
FC Gareji Sagarejo
1 : 4 Gagra
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iberia 1999 | 36 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 92:25 | 87 |
| 2 | Locomotive Tbilisi | 36 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 87:42 | 68 |
| 3 | Odishi 1919 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 69:41 | 66 |
| 4 | Samgurali | 36 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 76:50 | 60 |
| 5 | Chiatura | 36 | 17 | 3 | 16 | 53:52 | 54 |
| 6 | Matchakhela | 36 | 14 | 3 | 19 | 48:66 | 45 |
| 7 | Sasco Tbilisi | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 61:67 | 42 |
| 8 | Chkherimela | 36 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 35:71 | 40 |
| 9 | STU Tbilisi | 36 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 47:97 | 35 |
| 10 | Adeli Batumi | 36 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 37:94 | 22 |
Promotion - Pirveli Liga 2014/2015 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sapovnela Terjola | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 64:28 | 77 |
| 2 | Borjomi | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 40:43 | 54 |
| 3 | Gagra | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 59:44 | 51 |
| 4 | Betlemi Keda | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 51:50 | 49 |
| 5 | FC Ozurgeti | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 45:68 | 48 |
| 6 | Algeti Marneuli | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47:39 | 47 |
| 7 | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 57:55 | 47 |
| 8 | Khobi | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 46:48 | 47 |
| 9 | Skuri Tsalenjikha | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 47:55 | 46 |
| 10 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2 | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 42:68 | 33 |
Promotion - Pirveli Liga 2014/2015 (Promotion - Play Offs)
