Sport Picks
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 Sport Complex Podillia, Khmelnytskyi 
Match Events
14'
14'
Shavrin V.
19'
19'
Zelinskyi D.
40'
40'
Azizov D.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi and MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi carry the better recent record into this one.
- FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 68%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 29, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:1
May 2, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
2:3
Mar 30, 2025 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:2
May 19, 2024 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Compare
Top Goalscorer Shavrin V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Azizov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 59 / 100
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi VS MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
(Home) 03 Oct
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 2 FC Vilkhivtsi
25 Sept
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 2 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
20 Sept
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
12 Sept
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1 Skala 1911
05 Sept
Dnister Zalishchyky
3 : 2 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 2 FC Vilkhivtsi
12 Sept
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1 Skala 1911
29 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1 Dinaz Vyshgorod
21 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 3 Victoria
08 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1 Nyva Vinnytsya
Page 1 of 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
(Away) 27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
20 Sept
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2 Lozova
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
23 Aug
Olympia Savyntsi
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
15 Aug
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
2 : 2 Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
23 Aug
Olympia Savyntsi
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
09 Aug
Oleksandriya 2
0 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
02 Aug
SC Poltava 2
0 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
