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FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Victoria

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup Sport Complex Podillia, Khmelnytskyi
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Ukrainian Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi at 0.75 goals for, 1.5 against; Victoria at 1.29 for, 1.11 against. Head-to-head, FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi have won 1 to Victoria's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 7, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.38) point toward Victoria. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
30%
Draws
51%
Victoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Victoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Victoria lately — more wins on the board than FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Victoria taking it.
  • Victoria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Victoria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 17%
Victoria Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Victoria
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Victoria
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Persha Liga
Victoria vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0:0
May 10, 2025 Persha Liga
Victoria vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Victoria
1:1
Feb 27, 2024 Club Friendly
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Victoria
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 23 / 100
Victoria 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Victoria conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi VS Victoria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

(Home)
08 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
01 Aug
Bratslav Vinnytsia
3 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0 : 0
Fenix Mariupol
17 May
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 2
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

Victoria

(Away)
15 Aug
Victoria
2 : 1
Kulikiv
08 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
0 : 1
Victoria
02 Aug
Victoria
2 : 0
Kolos Kovalivka 2
24 Jul
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 1
Victoria
14 Jul
Livyi Bereg
1 : 1
Victoria
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kulikiv -
Palmira Odesa -
Dnister Zalishchyky -
Livyi Bereg -
Bratslav Vinnytsia -
Oleksandriya -
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka -
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk -
Druzhba-Kozaky -
Bazys Kochubiyivka -
Lozova -
Kudrivka -
Kolos Kovalivka -
UCSA -
Dinaz Vyshgorod -
Fenix Mariupol -
Mayak Sarny -
SC Poltava -
Kryvbas -
Rokyta -
Rebel Kyiv -
Ahrobiznes Volochysk -
Karpaty Lviv -
Obolon -
TBD -
TBD -
Kolos Polonne -
Trostyanets -
Lokomotyv Kyiv -
Probiy Horodenka -
Nyva Vinnytsya -
Rukh Lviv -
Ch. Odesa -
FC Vilkhivtsi -
Skala 1911 -
Zorya -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi -
Victoria -
Epitsentr -
To4ka Odessa -
Reshetylivka -
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) -
FC Kharkiv -
Kalynivka -
Veres Rivne -
Inhulets -
Novyi Rozdil -
Atlet Kiev -
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya -
Olympia Savyntsi -
Karbon Cherkasy -
Pokuttia Kolomyia -
Bukovyna -
Nyva Ternopil -
Penuel Kryvyi Rih -
Metalist Kharkiv -
LSTM Lutsk -
FC Chernihiv -
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TBD -
TBD -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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