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FC Ponsacco vs Follonica Gavorrano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 5, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Ponsacco host Follonica Gavorrano in the Serie D - Group E 2019/2020. Follonica Gavorrano go into this one as the clear favorite. FC Ponsacco have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Follonica Gavorrano's 1.25 scored and 1.63 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Ponsacco have won 2 to Follonica Gavorrano's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.42 - 1.18) back Follonica Gavorrano to edge this. Follonica Gavorrano in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Ponsacco
40%
Draws
29%
Follonica Gavorrano
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Follonica Gavorrano have won more games recently than FC Ponsacco.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FC Ponsacco Clean Sheet 20%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ponsacco Follonica Gavorrano
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 1 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2020 Serie D - Group E
FC Ponsacco vs Follonica Gavorrano
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs FC Ponsacco
3:0
May 19, 2019 Serie D - Group E
FC Ponsacco vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:0
Feb 10, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs FC Ponsacco
1:0
Oct 20, 2018 Serie D - Group E
FC Ponsacco vs Follonica Gavorrano
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ponsacco 32 / 100
Follonica Gavorrano 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ponsacco Follonica Gavorrano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Follonica Gavorrano has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: FC Ponsacco scored in 45% of their last 22 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

FC Ponsacco has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Follonica Gavorrano
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%