Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Porto B vs FC Felgueiras

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes, Vila Nova de Gaia
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Melnichenko T.
35'
Rodrigues D.
38'
Sub
Teixeira J. In: Mide M.
Out: Teixeira J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between FC Porto B and FC Felgueiras finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Porto B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FC Porto B
20%
Draws
38%
FC Felgueiras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Porto B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Porto B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Porto B are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • FC Felgueiras have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FC Porto B Clean Sheet 19%
FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Porto B FC Felgueiras
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs FC Felgueiras
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs FC Porto B
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Felgueiras vs FC Porto B
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs FC Felgueiras
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Porto B Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Felgueiras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Porto B 42 / 100
FC Felgueiras 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Porto B FC Felgueiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Porto B scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: FC Felgueiras conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: FC Porto B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Porto B VS FC Felgueiras
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Porto B

(Home)
15 May
FC Porto B
2 : 0
Benfica B
09 May
Sporting CP B
0 : 1
FC Porto B
04 May
FC Porto B
1 : 0
FC Felgueiras
26 Apr
Penafiel
3 : 0
FC Porto B
20 Apr
FC Porto B
0 : 3
Leixoes
Page 1 of 6

FC Felgueiras

(Away)
22 Jul
Santa Clara
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
18 Jul
Gil Vicente
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
15 Jul
Sanjoanense
0 : 3
FC Felgueiras
11 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
3 : 1
FC Felgueiras
17 May
Oliveirense
1 : 5
FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)