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FC Porto U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Silva T.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Lima B.
86' Event
Lima B.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between FC Porto U19 and Vitoria Guimaraes U19 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Porto U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Porto U19
6%
Draws
4%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Porto U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Porto U19 come out ahead of Vitoria Guimaraes U19 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FC Porto U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Porto U19 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
FC Porto U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Porto U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 27 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 3.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
3:0
Aug 15, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs FC Porto U19
1:3
May 10, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
3:2
Mar 30, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs FC Porto U19
3:1
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs FC Porto U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Porto U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Porto U19 95 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Porto U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Porto U19 scored in 91% of their last 35 outings.

Vitoria Guimaraes U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

FC Porto U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Porto U19 VS Vitoria Guimaraes U19
3.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto U1918161162:1949
2Gil Vicente U1918102631:2332
3Rio Ave U1918101732:3131
4Famalicao U191893635:2930
5Vitoria Guimaraes U191883722:2727
6Braga U191883732:2627
7Vizela U191854930:3919
8Pacos Ferreira U191854922:3719
9Moreirense U1918441020:2716
10Chaves U1918051310:385
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica U1918106231:1436
2Leiria U191886430:2330
3Sporting CP U191885527:1529
4Santa Clara U191877424:1728
5Academico Viseu U191859423:1924
6Torreense U191864817:2022
7Alverca U191863923:2621
8Belenenses U191855813:2320
9Tondela U191845911:2617
10Mafra U191836922:3815