Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Geertruida L.
57'
57'
Til G.
Assist: Mijnans S.
58'
58'
Sub
Omorodion S. In: Silva An.
Out: Omorodion S.
AI Match Summary
PSV in this Champions League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSV.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Porto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Porto have won more games recently than PSV.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FC Porto Clean Sheet 11%
PSV Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Porto | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 2.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2026 Champions League
FC Porto vs PSV
0:1
Jul 21, 2016 Club Friendly
PSV vs FC Porto
3:0
Apr 7, 1993 Champions League
PSV vs FC Porto
0:1
Nov 25, 1992 Champions League
FC Porto vs PSV
2:2
Nov 9, 1988 Champions League
FC Porto vs PSV
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Porto Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Til G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Porto 29 / 100
PSV 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Porto PSV
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Porto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Porto found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
PSV let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: FC Porto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Porto VS PSV
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Porto
(Home) 20 Oct
FC Porto
0 : 1 PSV
14 Oct
Betis
3 : 2 FC Porto
10 Oct
Maritimo
1 : 2 FC Porto
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3 FC Porto
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1 Benfica
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
FC Porto
0 : 1 PSV
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1 Benfica
08 Sept
FC Porto
0 : 2 Manchester City
04 Sept
FC Porto
2 : 1 Moreirense
23 Aug
FC Porto
2 : 0 Arouca
Page 1 of 4
PSV
(Away) 20 Oct
FC Porto
0 : 1 PSV
17 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 1 PSV
13 Oct
RB Leipzig
1 : 0 PSV
09 Oct
PSV
2 : 0 Heerenveen
20 Sept
Twente
3 : 2 PSV
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
FC Porto
0 : 1 PSV
17 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 1 PSV
13 Oct
RB Leipzig
1 : 0 PSV
20 Sept
Twente
3 : 2 PSV
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3 PSV
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 8 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 13 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Shakhtar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 15 | Atl. Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 16 | PSV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 17 | Como | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Club Brugge | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 24 | Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah Baku | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 27 | AEK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 28 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 29 | Viking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 30 | Slavia Prague | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 31 | Inter | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 32 | LASK Linz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 0 |
| 33 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | Lille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Galatasaray | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
