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FC Primeira Camisa vs Sumare

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2011 game between FC Primeira Camisa and Sumare finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
FC Primeira Camisa
20%
Draws
16%
Sumare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Primeira Camisa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • FC Primeira Camisa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Primeira Camisa a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FC Primeira Camisa Clean Sheet 20%
Sumare Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Primeira Camisa Sumare
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 5
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.47 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2011 Paulista A4
Sumare vs FC Primeira Camisa
0:2
Aug 6, 2011 Paulista A4
FC Primeira Camisa vs Sumare
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Primeira Camisa 76 / 100
Sumare 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Primeira Camisa Sumare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Primeira Camisa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sumare has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

FC Primeira Camisa found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sumare lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sumare
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Primeira Camisa

(Home)
23 Oct
Independente SP
4 : 0
FC Primeira Camisa
19 Oct
FC Primeira Camisa
1 : 0
Guacuano
16 Oct
FC Primeira Camisa
0 : 1
Votuporanguense
09 Oct
Votuporanguense
0 : 0
FC Primeira Camisa
05 Oct
Guacuano
3 : 0
FC Primeira Camisa
Page 1 of 6

Sumare

(Away)
21 Sept
Primavera EC
3 : 0
Sumare
17 Sept
Sumare
1 : 5
Lemense
14 Sept
Sumare
1 : 1
Manthiqueira
07 Sept
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Sumare
03 Sept
Lemense
3 : 1
Sumare
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capivariano 6 5 1 0 13:4 16
2 Guacuano 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
3 Bandeirante 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
4 Guariba 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barretos EC 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
2 ECUS SP 6 4 0 2 7:5 12
3 Palmeirinha SP 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
4 Cotia 6 2 0 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 6 2 4 0 11:5 10
2 FC Primeira Camisa 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
3 Guaruja 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
4 Sumare 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
2 Jacarei (Inactive) 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
3 EC Sao Bernardo 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
4 Tupa 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 6 4 2 0 11:1 14
2 Olimpia FC 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
3 Sao Vicente 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Guarulhos 6 0 2 4 4:13 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Votuporanguense 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
3 Brasilis 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Ole Brasil 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Third stage)