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FC PSK Dinskoy rayon vs Zarya Lugansk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon play Zarya Lugansk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC PSK Dinskoy rayon averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. Zarya Lugansk averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, FC PSK Dinskoy rayon won 1, Zarya Lugansk won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for FC PSK Dinskoy rayon and 1.56 for Zarya Lugansk. This points to a FC PSK Dinskoy rayon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon
18%
Draws
28%
Zarya Lugansk
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: FC PSK Dinskoy rayon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • FC PSK Dinskoy rayon picked up more points recently compared to Zarya Lugansk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon Clean Sheet 15%
Zarya Lugansk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC PSK Dinskoy rayon Zarya Lugansk
Matches Played 19 15
Wins 8 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.47 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon vs Zarya Lugansk
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon Compare

Top Goalscorer Pshenichnikov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kozenov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Zarya Lugansk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon 52 / 100
Zarya Lugansk 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon Zarya Lugansk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC PSK Dinskoy rayon Win (1)
Secondary Pick FC PSK Dinskoy rayon & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon attacking → ← attacking Zarya Lugansk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon scored in 79% of their last 19 games.

Zarya Lugansk let in goals in 73% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zarya Lugansk lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 15
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38