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FC Red Black/Egalite 07 vs Blo Weiss Medernach

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Red Black/Egalite 07 have averaged 0.83 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Blo Weiss Medernach's 2 scored and 2.75 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Red Black/Egalite 07 slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 4, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.79 - 2.50) back Blo Weiss Medernach to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
FC Red Black/Egalite 07
28%
Draws
50%
Blo Weiss Medernach
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Blo Weiss Medernach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blo Weiss Medernach come out ahead of FC Red Black/Egalite 07 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Blo Weiss Medernach a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Blo Weiss Medernach arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 Clean Sheet 10%
Blo Weiss Medernach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Red Black/Egalite 07 Blo Weiss Medernach
Matches Played 6 17
Wins 1 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 0.83 2
Goals Conceded 3 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2020 Luxembourg Cup
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 vs Blo Weiss Medernach
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Red Black/Egalite 07 22 / 100
Blo Weiss Medernach 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 Blo Weiss Medernach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BWM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Red Black/Egalite 07 scored in 100% of their last 6 outings.

Blo Weiss Medernach has conceded goals in 88% of their last 17 outings.

Blo Weiss Medernach lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

FC Red Black/Egalite 07 VS Blo Weiss Medernach
0.83 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 2.75
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Red Black/Egalite 07

(Home)
29 Oct
FC Red Black/Egalite 07
1 : 5
Hesperange
02 Oct
FC Red Black/Egalite 07
1 : 0
Alisontia Steinsel
03 Oct
FC Red Black/Egalite 07
1 : 4
Wiltz
22 Sept
FC Red Black/Egalite 07
1 : 4
Hostert
18 Sept
FC Red Black/Egalite 07
1 : 5
US Sandweiler
Page 1 of 2

Blo Weiss Medernach

(Away)
21 Sept
Blo Weiss Medernach
1 : 2
Jeunesse Esch
05 Oct
Blo Weiss Medernach
0 : 4
UNA Strassen
01 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 0
Blo Weiss Medernach
04 Feb
Blo Weiss Medernach
2 : 1
FC 47 Bastendorf
30 Oct
Blo Weiss Medernach
1 : 4
Luxembourg City
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Schieren1
Union Titus Petange2
Jeunesse Gilsdorf1
Ettelbruck2
Racing Troisvierges0
Racing Luxembourg11
FC Schengen1
Differdange5
FC Ehlerange4
Berdenia Berbourg3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette0
Jeunesse Canach4
Syra Mensdorf1
FC Mamer0
FF Norden1
Luxembourg City2
Avenir Beggen3
Mondercange2
Pratzerthal/Redange0
Fola4
Echternach1
Mertert/Wasserbillig3
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz0
Rumelange10
FC Munsbach2
Alisontia Steinsel4
Mertzig0
Dudelange5
Oberkorn2
Esch1
US Feulen0
Hostert1
Grevenmacher2
Kaerjeng3
Blo Weiss Itzig0
Hesperange4
Erpeldange1
Schifflange3
Harlange/Tarchamps0
Wiltz8
CS Sanem2
Bettembourg0
AS Wincrange0
FC Rodange 912
Lorentzweiler2
FC Marisca Mersch0
Diekirch0
Mondorf6
FC Koerich/Simmern2
Bissen4
FC Noertzange HF0
Jeunesse Esch6
Steinfort1
Jeunesse Junglinster3
Union Tetange3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler4
FC Red Black/Egalite 07-
Blo Weiss Medernach-
Kehlen0
Progres Niedercorn2
AS Luxembourg/Porto2
Victoria Rosport5
Cebra2
UNA Strassen3
1/16-finals
Union Titus Petange-
Ettelbruck-
Racing Luxembourg-
Differdange-
FC Ehlerange-
Jeunesse Canach-
Syra Mensdorf-
Luxembourg City-
Avenir Beggen-
Fola-
Mertert/Wasserbillig-
Rumelange-
Alisontia Steinsel-
Dudelange-
Oberkorn-
Hostert-
Kaerjeng-
Hesperange-
Schifflange-
Wiltz-
CS Sanem-
FC Rodange 91-
Lorentzweiler-
Mondorf-
Bissen-
Jeunesse Esch-
Jeunesse Junglinster-
FC Yellow Boys Weiler-
TBD-
Progres Niedercorn-
Victoria Rosport-
UNA Strassen-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-