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FC Red Black/Egalite 07 vs Blo Weiss Medernach

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Red Black/Egalite 07 have averaged 1 scored and 4 conceded recently, against Blo Weiss Medernach's 1.53 scored and 2.76 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Red Black/Egalite 07 slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 4, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.79 - 2.50) back Blo Weiss Medernach to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FC Red Black/Egalite 07
15%
Draws
42%
Blo Weiss Medernach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Red Black/Egalite 07

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blo Weiss Medernach come out ahead of FC Red Black/Egalite 07 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Blo Weiss Medernach a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Blo Weiss Medernach arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 Clean Sheet 10%
Blo Weiss Medernach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Red Black/Egalite 07 Blo Weiss Medernach
Matches Played 6 17
Wins 1 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1 1.53
Goals Conceded 4 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2020 Luxembourg Cup
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 vs Blo Weiss Medernach
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Red Black/Egalite 07 22 / 100
Blo Weiss Medernach 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 Blo Weiss Medernach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blo Weiss Medernach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Red Black/Egalite 07 scored in 100% of their last 6 outings.

Blo Weiss Medernach has conceded goals in 88% of their last 17 outings.

Blo Weiss Medernach lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

FC Red Black/Egalite 07 VS Blo Weiss Medernach
0.83 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 2.75
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Red Black/Egalite 07

(Home)
29 Oct
FC Red Black/Egalite 07
1 : 5
Hesperange
02 Oct
FC Red Black/Egalite 07
1 : 0
Alisontia Steinsel
03 Oct
FC Red Black/Egalite 07
1 : 4
Wiltz
22 Sept
FC Red Black/Egalite 07
1 : 4
Hostert
18 Sept
FC Red Black/Egalite 07
1 : 5
US Sandweiler
Page 1 of 2

Blo Weiss Medernach

(Away)
21 Sept
Blo Weiss Medernach
1 : 2
Jeunesse Esch
05 Oct
Blo Weiss Medernach
0 : 4
UNA Strassen
01 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 0
Blo Weiss Medernach
04 Feb
Blo Weiss Medernach
2 : 1
FC 47 Bastendorf
30 Oct
Blo Weiss Medernach
1 : 4
Luxembourg City
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Union Titus Petange 2
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Troisvierges 0
Racing Luxembourg 11
FC Schengen 1
Differdange 5
FC Ehlerange 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 0
Jeunesse Canach 4
Syra Mensdorf 1
FC Mamer 0
FF Norden 1
Luxembourg City 2
Avenir Beggen 3
Mondercange 2
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Fola 4
Echternach 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Rumelange 10
FC Munsbach 2
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Mertzig 0
Dudelange 5
Oberkorn 2
Esch 1
US Feulen 0
Hostert 1
Grevenmacher 2
Kaerjeng 3
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Hesperange 4
Erpeldange 1
Schifflange 3
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Wiltz 8
CS Sanem 2
Bettembourg 0
AS Wincrange 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Diekirch 0
Mondorf 6
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Bissen 4
FC Noertzange HF 0
Jeunesse Esch 6
Steinfort 1
Jeunesse Junglinster 3
Union Tetange 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 -
Blo Weiss Medernach -
Kehlen 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
AS Luxembourg/Porto 2
Victoria Rosport 5
Cebra 2
UNA Strassen 3
1/16-finals
Union Titus Petange -
Ettelbruck -
Racing Luxembourg -
Differdange -
FC Ehlerange -
Jeunesse Canach -
Syra Mensdorf -
Luxembourg City -
Avenir Beggen -
Fola -
Mertert/Wasserbillig -
Rumelange -
Alisontia Steinsel -
Dudelange -
Oberkorn -
Hostert -
Kaerjeng -
Hesperange -
Schifflange -
Wiltz -
CS Sanem -
FC Rodange 91 -
Lorentzweiler -
Mondorf -
Bissen -
Jeunesse Esch -
Jeunesse Junglinster -
FC Yellow Boys Weiler -
TBD -
Progres Niedercorn -
Victoria Rosport -
UNA Strassen -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -