Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Renaissance vs Celeste - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celeste in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celeste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FC Renaissance
35%
Draws
22%
Celeste
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Renaissance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celeste lately — more wins on the board than FC Renaissance.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on FC Renaissance taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
FC Renaissance Clean Sheet 16%
Celeste Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Renaissance Celeste
Matches Played 27 35
Wins 4 11
Draws 13 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.78 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Ligue 1
FC Renaissance vs Celeste
0:5
Oct 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Celeste vs FC Renaissance
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Renaissance 48 / 100
Celeste 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Renaissance Celeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Renaissance Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Renaissance scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Celeste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 35 matches.

FC Renaissance has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Renaissance VS Celeste
0.33 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Renaissance

(Home)
12 Apr
FC Renaissance
0 : 5
AS Maniema
09 Apr
FC Renaissance
0 : 0
Dauphins Noirs
02 Apr
OC Renaissance
1 : 1
FC Renaissance
26 Mar
FC Renaissance
1 : 1
Motema Pembe
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0
Bukavu Dawa
Page 1 of 6

Celeste

(Away)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1
Celeste
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2
Celeste
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)