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FC Rieti vs Sporting Trestina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 Stadio Centro d'Italia – Manlio Scopigno, Rieti
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Tortolano E.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Barbarossa F.
90' Event
Attili V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 game between FC Rieti and Sporting Trestina finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Rieti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Rieti
20%
Draws
40%
Sporting Trestina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • FC Rieti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
FC Rieti Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Rieti Sporting Trestina
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Serie D - Group E
FC Rieti vs Sporting Trestina
2:1
Dec 8, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs FC Rieti
2:2
Jan 8, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Sporting Trestina vs FC Rieti
1:1
Sep 4, 2016 Serie D - Group G
FC Rieti vs Sporting Trestina
5:0
Apr 19, 2015 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs FC Rieti
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Rieti Compare

Top Goalscorer Attili V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Sporting Trestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbarossa F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rieti 36 / 100
Sporting Trestina 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Rieti Sporting Trestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Trestina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sporting Trestina conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: FC Rieti scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sporting Trestina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sporting Trestina
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Rieti

(Home)
03 Aug
FC Rieti
0 : 2
Frosinone
22 May
FC Rieti
2 : 0
Foligno
15 May
Montespaccato
1 : 1
FC Rieti
08 May
FC Rieti
1 : 2
Follonica Gavorrano
01 May
Mobilieri Ponsacco
2 : 1
FC Rieti
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Sporting Trestina

(Away)
04 Oct
Ancona
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 26 3 5 86:30 81
2 Poggibonsi 34 23 5 6 61:28 74
3 Arezzo 34 18 10 6 65:45 64
4 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 9 7 63:30 63
5 Pianese 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
6 Lornano Badesse 34 15 9 10 47:43 54
7 Sporting Trestina 34 13 10 11 48:43 49
8 Flaminia 34 13 7 14 49:50 46
9 Tiferno Lerchi 34 10 12 12 36:48 42
10 Montespaccato 34 11 9 14 43:44 42
11 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 11 9 14 39:40 42
12 Sangiovannese 34 9 14 11 37:39 41
13 Scandicci 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
14 FC Rieti 34 9 8 17 39:58 35
15 Foligno 34 9 8 17 46:65 35
16 Unipomezia 34 8 7 19 38:64 31
17 Cannara 34 5 9 20 27:52 24
18 Pro Livorno 34 5 6 23 31:84 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)