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FC Rieti vs Tortoli Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 Stadio Centro d'Italia – Manlio Scopigno, Rieti
FC Rieti Logo

FC Rieti

3 - 1
FT
Tortoli Logo

Tortoli

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Rieti in this Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Rieti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
FC Rieti
15%
Draws
36%
Tortoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Rieti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Rieti have won more games recently than Tortoli.
  • Model gives FC Rieti a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Rieti Clean Sheet 19%
Tortoli Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Rieti Tortoli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.19 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group G
FC Rieti vs Tortoli
3:1
Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Tortoli vs FC Rieti
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rieti 67 / 100
Tortoli 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Rieti Tortoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Rieti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tortoli let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

FC Rieti scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Tortoli has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Rieti VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Rieti

(Home)
03 Aug
FC Rieti
0 : 2
Frosinone
22 May
FC Rieti
2 : 0
Foligno
15 May
Montespaccato
1 : 1
FC Rieti
08 May
FC Rieti
1 : 2
Follonica Gavorrano
01 May
Mobilieri Ponsacco
2 : 1
FC Rieti
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Tortoli

(Away)
06 May
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Tortoli
29 Apr
Tortoli
1 : 4
Monterosi
22 Apr
Lanusei Calcio
2 : 0
Tortoli
14 Apr
Tortoli
4 : 3
Aprilia
08 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
1 : 0
Tortoli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rieti 34 22 9 3 76:29 75
2 Albalonga 34 20 10 4 60:28 70
3 SFF Atletico (Inactive) 34 19 9 6 73:37 66
4 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 60:43 62
5 Latina 34 17 10 7 55:42 61
6 Aprilia 34 14 12 8 52:42 54
7 Cassino 34 15 7 12 50:48 52
8 Lupa Roma 34 12 10 12 47:49 44
9 Monterosi 34 12 8 14 47:42 44
10 Budoni Calcio 34 13 4 17 40:41 43
11 Ostiamare 34 11 9 14 47:56 42
12 Flaminia 34 11 8 15 42:48 41
13 Latte Dolce 34 10 10 14 39:45 40
14 Lanusei Calcio 34 11 4 19 41:55 37
15 Nuorese 34 9 8 17 28:46 35
16 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 7 7 20 28:68 28
17 Tortoli 34 7 5 22 36:65 26
18 San Teodoro 34 5 8 21 47:84 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 (Play Offs)