Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Rio de Janeiro vs AA Carapebus

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Maicon Marinho
74' Event
Maicon Marinho
88' Event
Rosiel

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between FC Rio de Janeiro and AA Carapebus finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AA Carapebus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
FC Rio de Janeiro
20%
Draws
10%
AA Carapebus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Rio de Janeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • AA Carapebus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Rio de Janeiro a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
FC Rio de Janeiro Clean Sheet 16%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Rio de Janeiro AA Carapebus
Matches Played 23 28
Wins 4 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2024 Carioca B2
FC Rio de Janeiro vs AA Carapebus
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Rio de Janeiro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

AA Carapebus Compare

Top Goalscorer Maicon Marinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rosiel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rio de Janeiro 75 / 100
AA Carapebus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Rio de Janeiro AA Carapebus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Rio de Janeiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AA Carapebus has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FC Rio de Janeiro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: AA Carapebus has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Rio de Janeiro VS AA Carapebus
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Rio de Janeiro

(Home)
21 Sept
FC Rio de Janeiro
1 : 3
Santa Cruz RJ
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
31 Aug
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 1
Buzios
09 Nov
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 0
Barra Mansa
Page 1 of 5

AA Carapebus

(Away)
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
AA Carapebus
0 : 2
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)