Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Rio de Janeiro vs Macae

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cesar P.
21' Event
Kauan F.
30' Event
Pipico

AI Match Summary

Macae in this Carioca B2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macae.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Rio de Janeiro
20%
Draws
29%
Macae
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Rio de Janeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Macae lately — more wins on the board than FC Rio de Janeiro.
  • Win probability leans FC Rio de Janeiro's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
FC Rio de Janeiro Clean Sheet 68%
Macae Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Rio de Janeiro Macae
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Carioca B2
FC Rio de Janeiro vs Macae
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Rio de Janeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesar P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Macae Compare

Top Goalscorer Pipico
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rio de Janeiro 59 / 100
Macae 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Rio de Janeiro Macae

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Rio de Janeiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Macae's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

FC Rio de Janeiro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Macae registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Rio de Janeiro VS Macae
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Rio de Janeiro

(Home)
13 Sept
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
31 Aug
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 1
Buzios
09 Nov
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 0
Barra Mansa
06 Nov
7 de Abril
6 : 2
FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 5

Macae

(Away)
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
17 Jun
Macae
0 : 0
Americano
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)